Training Camp Can’t “Shelter” Cleveland Browns From All Of Their Internal Storms

“Oh, a storm is threat’ning, My very life today; If I don’t get some shelter, Oh yeah, I’m gonna fade away.” – Rolling Stones

 

It seems no matter how hard a team may try, there always are events threatening to spin out of control just before the season starts.

 

Players report for training camp in just over a week, and there are several issues swirling around Berea. How these issues are resolved will determine the course of 2009.

 

“Gimme Shelter” is a song about events spinning out of control and the need to find a calm center. Given the last few years in Cleveland sports, you play professor on why I chose to use it as a theme for this column.

 

For a team as bad as the Browns were last year, they certainly have been interesting to follow this past offseason. Going into training camp, they are as intriguing as ever.

 

Just how much influence does head coach Eric Mangini wield in the front office with general manager George Kokinis? How will they put this team together? What will the final product look like?

 

I could go on, but let’s move forward.

 

You’ve got two contract situations with kicker Phil Dawson and everyman Josh Cribbs. There’s the “quarterback controversy,” new schemes to be learned on both sides of the ball, and above all, beating teams in our own division.

 

The latest reports state Cribbs will not holdout from camp, indicating a victory for Mangini, who has quietly been stamping out egos on the team formerly allowed to run free.

 

The news is not so good in regards to Dawson, where rumor has it he fully intends a holdout unless he gets a bigger contract.

 

My initial response to this news was, “Good luck with that.”

 

Now Dawson may very well have been the team’s leading scorer last year given Romeo Crennel’s fondness for kicking field goals instead of getting into the end zone, but whether or not there is any truth in that last statement is completely irrelevant because Mangini will happily move on without Dawson.

 

I don’t know a whole lot about Mangini yet, but I’ve seen enough to realize he’ll cut ties with Dawson and find another kicker without losing any sleep over the matter. Mangini is the type of coach who just needs a warm body at that position with decent range.

 

I think it’s safe to say rookie Parker Douglass is ready and willing to take Dawson’s job for a lot less money.

 

Those two contract issues are but two of the storm clouds moving in. There’s the matter of unsigned second round draft picks Brian Robiskie and Mohamed Massaquoi still lingering, but I expect all our guys to be signed by the time players report on July 31.

 

The biggest thunderhead is, of course, the Brady Quinn versus Derek Anderson debate. I’ve already made my feelings known on this, so let’s move on. It’s not worth talking about again until the preseason actually starts.

 

On defense, you have another attempt to implement the 3-4 scheme. Besides Shaun Rogers, there is the disappointing Shaun Smith, new faces on the corners, and the mysterious Kamerion Wimbley.

 

Wimbley, a first round draft pick in 2006, lit things up his rookie year, yet seemed overwhelmed last year, posting only four sacks. Just watching him last year was painful because you kept saying, “I know he’s better than this.”

 

The offensive line is undergoing an evolution with the addition of center Alex Mack. There really is nowhere to go but up for this squad, so we’ll all probably be satisfied with their progress no matter what.

 

If Mangini can execute his plans, beat the Steelers, and turn in a performance akin to his first year with the Jets, there’ll be a lot of excitement around Brownstown.

 

Between the contract issues, the daunting task of completely rebuilding a team, and having the unenviable task of getting all the veterans to buy into his philosophy, Mangini has quite a gauntlet to navigate through.

 

But I believe Mangini can come through this a winner. It’s just a shot away.

Daily Haze: Big Ben in trouble

A simple “Ben Roethlisberger assault” search turned up a bevy of information on yesterday’s biggest story in the NFL via Google.

Everyone—except ESPN—was talking about it.

That does strike me as odd.

ESPN did the same thing last year around this time when it was reported that Brett Favre had contacted the Lions with tips on the Packers. Not that anything came of it, but the news was significant and, usually, right up ESPN’s alley.

Perhaps there are ulterior motives at play? Like ESPN hoping to have a professional relationship with Roethlisberger down the line. But, as the big lead pointed out yesterday, the whole ordeal seemed rather puzzling.

The self-proclaimed “World Wide Leader in Sports Entertainment” pulled a Braylon Edwards yesterday and dropped the ball.

Fantasy impact? There does not appear to be much of a chance he misses playing time, nor should he miss any practice.

Do remember, however, that his worst season as a pro—as in failed to make the playoffs—was prefaced by a tumultuous offseason that culminated in Roethlisberger being involved in a motorcycle accident, prior to the start of the season.

It’s just something to keep in mind.

Here are today’s great reads:

• A mock battle between the sliding Jay Cutler and the rising Matt Ryan. Who would you rather? [Football Jabber]
• Why Falcons’ running back Michael Turner will not fall prey to the curse of 370 this season. [The Huddle]
• A quick glance at some average draft positions reveals three overvalued and three undervalued players. [Pancake Blocks]
• Maurice Jones-Drew continues to get drafted in the top half of the first round, but does the potential reward mitigate the risk? [Roto Professor]
• Another popular fantasy blog is giving away a $25 gift card to the person with the best fantasy football team name. Don’t forget about The Hazean’s best fantasy football team name contest as well! [Lester’s Legends]

Got a pressing fantasy football question and need an answer now? Or just want to chat about all the recent developments in the sports world? Head over to The Hazean’s fantasy football forums for all of that and more.

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Diner morning news: Ryan’s rookie season

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NFL Sports Writer’s Power Ranking: 2009 NFC Team Analysis

Ranked 1st: Chicago Bears

The Chicago Bears are the real deal, and the fans know it, and most importantly the players know it. The talent level on the team is outstanding, with potential to dominate teams if they come together as a unit. What’s happened in Chicago is simply this. The players and coaching staff are focused and determined to not just win games, but to win all of their games. It’s not unthinkable, especially when factoring they have the lightest schedule in the NFL, that this team could win all 16 games. They have heart, confidence, and vision to win. They see it, think it, hear it and most of all, they believe it. “They are who we thought they were.” They are a Super Bowl caliber team.

Bears pro bowl QB, Jay Cutler will lead this highly improved and explosive offense, to new possibilities. Cutler has tremendous accuracy and traits that will make Chicago’s unproven receivers better than they are.  His mobility makes him effective on rollouts and bootlegs with different launch points that will increase more options for Ron Turner and the play calling. His arm strength allows wider splits on an inside route creating open seams in the coverage, thus allowing the receivers to run away from man coverage. His quick feet allow 7 step drop backs, giving him and the receivers more time to read coverage schemes. The offensive line versatility and depth has greatly improved from 2008. The acquired seven time Pro Bowl left tackle, Orlando Pace will improve the pass protection and open doors for highly talented running back Matt Forte. Forte is a work horse back with excellent field vision. He has good burst speed and gets to the second level quickly. Forte is the complete package. He can run inside and out, catch and block. He celebrated 1238 rushing yards and 63 receptions for 477 yards. Cutler’s passing abilities will spread out opposing defenses, and will open the play action pass for better results. Receivers Devin Hester and Earl Bennett will lead the receiving corps in improving production from last year. Hester has drastically improved his route responsibilities and reads. His explosive play making talents and blazing speed make him and Cutler an unstoppable tandem. Tight ends Greg Olson and Desmond Clark will be very productive, and could be the best tightened combo in the league. Olson is 6’5 255 pound end has great hands and agility. His great speed allows Chicago to run him deep to stretch the field, and could run him in the slot. Olson has played 16 games with 54 catches, 574 yards and 5 TD’s, and most importantly he seems to improve every week.

The Chicago Bears are still defined by its defense, primarily at linebacker and with stopping the run. Brian Urlacher, Lance Briggs, and Pisa Tinoisamoa are the best 4-3 line backing corps in the NFL. Former starter Hunter Hillenmayer, Nick Roach and speedy Jamar Williams may also help on the outside to give the Bears great depth. The Bears focused defensively to infuse the defense with some young talent, General manager Jerry Angelo did that with draft picks, defensive lineman Jarron Gilbert in Round 3. The Bears will use Gilbert at defensive tackle behind starter Tommie Harris, who has battled an assortment of injuries the past three seasons. The Bears also drafted good players late with, defensive end Henry Melton, cornerback D.J. Moore, linebacker Marcus Freeman, and safety Al Afalava. The Bears new D-line coach Rod Marinelli will bring the best out of a group that includes Pro Bowl caliber players Adewale Ogunleye, Alex Brown, and Mark Anderson. The Bears secondary is the glaring weakness to opposing teams. It’s an average secondary at best. It’s a play it safe scheme and will not give up the big play. If the defensive line produces to projected levels, this defense will dominate again.

Ranked 2nd: New York Giants

After a great start in 2008 (11-1) the Giants receiver Plaxico Burress shot himself in the leg, and missed the rest of the season. The Giants seemed to have lost something more than just Plexico, they lost the passing game with him. Fortunately, Eli Manning can carry this team through anything with his ice veined talent. His cannon arm and escape ability makes him an unstoppable threat to any defense in the league. Manning doesn’t need a Pro Bowl caliber receiver to win games. Truth be told, they don’t have number one receiver. Steve Smith, with top draft picks Hakeem Nicks, Ramses Barden, and Mario Manningham will all compete for that role in camp, and most likely thought the season. The Giant’s running game “earth, wind , & fire” lost the wind with the departure of Derrick Ward to Tampa. The fire still burns in New York as Ahmad Bradshaw seems poised to take on a bigger role, and most say he’s more explosive than Ward. Mr. Earth himself, is back and will use his amazing speed, size, and power to bulldoze strait to the Pro Bowl, provided he stays healthy for the season.

Defensively, they can bring the heat. Steve Spagnuolo, the master mind behind the Giants defense, left for the head coaching position in St Luis. His replacement Sheridan will still run the legendary blitz happy scheme, with some slight adjustment’s in the package to streamline the play. The Giants beefed up the pass rushing talent with line backer Michael Boley, defensive tackles Chris Canty, Rocky Bernard, and let’s not forget about Osi Umenyiora, who is healthy after season killer knee injury.

Ranked 3rd: Philadelphia Eagles

The Eagles made big changes, from the offensive line to the secondary to retool the team as a Super Bowl contender.  Head coach Andy Reid is looking to improve the offensive consistency, as last year the team scored nearly half of the total points in just five games. With no 1000 yard rusher or receiver, McNabb and company will utilize his new offensive line to improve production on rushing and receiving totals. Big is an understatement for this line; however they will have to play together as a unit to be effective.  Rookie sensation Desean Jackson is poised to have a break out year, with his game braking abilities and getting more opportunities to make plays.  The running game is solid if Westbrook can stay healthy, which has been a concern in the past. The departure of Correll Bulkhaulter could have a negative impact if Westbrook goes down, and the Eagles entire offense would misfire.

On the other side of the ball, the blitz style defense was ranked 3^rd in total defense for 2008. The Eagles secondary lost a talented main stay, however the pickup of Ellis Hobbs will be a key replacement. The talented defensive coordinator Jim Johnson leads by mixing scheme’s that maximizes player production at each respected position. It’s important to note that Johnson is fighting cancer, and is still slated to coach. My thoughts and prayers are with him and his family.  Jim is a fighter, and if anyone can beat it, believe me it’s Jim.

Ranked 4th: Arizona Cardinals

The Cardinals high flying air attack is back, with the signing of Kurt Warner, and retaining MVP talented receivers Larry Fitzgerald (Fitzgerald best in the league) and the skilled Boldin. Although he is not happy with his contract, his production has not been effected. He is a gritty receiver that loves to go over the middle, and bulldoze his way to the end zone. Offensive coordinator Todd Haley has accepted the head coaching position in Kansas City. His position has not been replaced, as Whisenhunt choose to shuffle some things around, and start calling most of the plays himself.  The running attack has been historically bad, however rookie Chris “Beanie” Wells, could change that with his size and speed. Hightower still remains as the second back that will see some playing time. However, he does have some durability concerns.

The defense is a concern coming in to 2009. They lack effective pass rushing, and have been hopeless against the run at times. They need intensity and emotion to be effective. Darnell Dockett must step up and lead with emotion and intensity on the front line, and the rest will follow. The linebackers also need to improve pass rushing, and have the ability to get off of blocks. The secondary unit has tremendous talent, and could be the better groups in the league. With the addition of free agent Bryant McFadden, the secondary looks to lead the way with shut down corners like Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie. 

Ranked 5th:  Carolina Panthers

Carolina has one of the league’s best two rushing combo’s in DeAngelo Williams and Jonathan Stewart. Carolina ranked 3rd in the league in rushing, with Williams marching off for 1,515 yards and 18 TD’s; and Stewart stacked up 836 yards and 10 TD’s. Carolina’s success offensively can be contributed from the immensely sized offensive line consisting of LT Jordan Gross, LG Travelle Wharton, C Ryan Kalil, RG Keydrick Vincent, and RT Jeff Otah (Carolina’s 2008 1st round pick #19 overall.) Offensive coordinator Jeff Davidson has the ability that few teams have. He can center his entire offensive package using a running attack. The running attack is just as explosive and high powered as passing attack. QB Jake Delhomme has good intangibles, size, and plenty of arm power. The passing attack is effective with pass protection and receiver production. QB Jake Delhomme has good arm strength and overall size, which makes him an effective QB. However, he can be exploited from good secondaries. Steve Smith leads the group, and is still a huge deep threat on the field. Muhsin Muhammad is a solid receiver that commands great coverage. The two will line up opposite sides this season, and should increase the production from last season by all indications. The well groomed receiver Dwayne Jarrett, is slated to be the third starter this year, and looks to be yet another solid receiver, with Smith and Muhammad. 

The Panthers have legitimate defense with talented players. The question is can they play under new coordinator Ron Meeks. The former Dungy prodigy runs a play it safe cover 2 package, very close to Lovie Smith in Chicago. Built on speed and fundamental tackling, gives the players mobility without amazing strength and size. More importantly, it requires front 4 pressure that allow the back 7 to keep the ball in front of them at all times. They will use the safety to plug the run, because they won’t blitz much.  They produced a solid draft, adding players that will provide immediate value in 2009. Florida State DE Everette Brown is a premier pass rusher who will be able to provide pressure opposite Julius Peppers. SS Sherrod Martin, RB Mike Goodson, FB Tony Fiammetta, and G Duke Robinson all were outstanding selections for Carolina in the Draft.  The defense is very athletic, and under the new command of Meeks, I look for it to get even better.  Carolina has a brutal schedule featuring 13 teams that finish .500 or better in our projections. They play seven games against 2008 playoff teams and nine games against teams in our 2009 playoffs. There are minor deficiencies about every team in the NFL. When playing this schedule even the little things will be exploited throughout the season.

Ranked 6th: Atlanta Falcons

Atlanta 2008 performance was nothing short of outstanding. They had no true leading rusher, no playoff proven QB, no tandem top level receivers, no experienced head coach and no experienced General Manager, and yet still managed to make the playoffs. The Falcons are a longevity built team that has real talent, and is hungry to win. With all that being said, it’s fair to say that Atlanta offensive production is questionable for the start of the 2009 season. Atlanta’s smash mouth offensive attack, led by the talented Matt Ryan is very unpredictable. They will use trickery and raw talent. Defensively Atlanta’s pass rush is not where it should be, and some question the off season moves. To further the problem the linebacker’s and DB’s have seen big and unpredictable changes. The 4-3 zone scheme will fail if the linebackers aren’t aggressive enough. This defense ranked 24^th overall and 25^th against the run and will be the key factor again this year.

Ranked 7th: Green Bay Packers

Packers signed WR Jennings to a long-term contract extension that was well deserved. Jennings is one of the best wide receivers in the league, averaging 59 catches for 949 yards (16.0 yards-per-reception) in his first three years in the league. Aaron Rodgers is an effective quarterback who has some great weapons within the west coast offense. Donald Driver is coming off of his fifth straight 1,000 yard season. Expect a drop in his production, due to the progression of the talented receivers around him. Tight end Donald Lee is effective in the red zone, and is a trusted target for Rodgers. The other’s in this talented group, include second-year players WR Jordy Nelson and TE Jermichael Finley, third-year WR James Jones and third-down back Brandon Jackson, and can produce breakout performances. The Packers have an effective system with talented receivers. They have great break and stride speed after the catch, thus capable of breaking a game-changing play. Their rushing offense is questionable, at best. Production dropped to 3.9 yards-per-carry and disrupted the west coast attack. Grant’s true target should be somewhere around at 4 1/2 yards-per-carry. Unfortunately for him and the rest of the team, there are some serious concerns on the offensive line. Rodgers may be able to scramble and make plays in the passing game, but Grant will struggle without guys in front opening holes. The “one back” formation is a common offensive set in the Packers playbook. If the offensive line fails, Grant will struggle for positive yards, and his durability against injury will eventually catch up.

Switching to a 3-4 defense may be the “in thing” to do right now, but it’s not an easy transition for the Packers and probably will be more of a liability to the production of this unit. The Packers ranked 26th, against the run and allowed over 131 yards per game in 2008. Coach McCarthy and new defensive coordinator, Don Capers feel confident about the 3-4, and the progress made with player adjustments. The defensive line will benefit with the draft pick of B.J. Raji, who is vital to the future of the Packers as a nose tackle in the team’s new 3-4 scheme. With Raji, they hope it will help inside linebackers A.J. Hawk and Nick Barnett improve their play, and also free outside linebackers Aaron Kampman and Clay Matthews to attack the quarterback. The secondary unit led by pro bowl players, Charles Woodson and Nick Collins show good coverage technique, and tackling skills.

Ranked 8th: Dallas Cowboys

Cowboys cleaned house!  Tank Johnson, Pacman Jones, and that guy whose initials are T and O. are no longer on the team. Veterans Roy Williams (the safety) and Greg Ellis have left the Cowboys also. Wade Philips stays for know, and again get a chance to coach on the hot seat. The team was disappointed with the offensive production in 2008 with only a 22 point per game average (18^th in the league) and just over 107 yards rushing 21^st in the league. The Cowboy’s have arguably the deepest running back corps in league with Marion Barber, Felix Jones, and Tashard Choice. The Cowboy running game will improve in 2009, which will result in a more productive passing game. QB, Tony Romo has unanswered questions at the wide receiver position, and if remains unanswered, it will impact the productivity of the offence. One of the best offensive lines in the league resides he in Dallas, with Jason Witten at TE, newcomer John Phillips, also at TE. Solid sure handed, blocking is the key attribute to offensive side of the ball in Dallas.

With the loss of Greg Ellis, they have a secondary unit that’s very inexperienced. Cowboys gave up both good talent in dealing away both Pacman Jones and veteran Anthony Henry. CB Terrance Newman returns as the only defender in the secondary with significant experience.  Dallas replaced mostly-ineffective safeties Roy Williams and Ken Hamlin with Gerald Sensabaugh, who is a slight upgrade. Anthony Henry packed up and went to Detroit, leaving Dallas with five players with only one year of experience.  All of them however will compete to take Henry’s place. Sensabaugh is a definite starter and it’s a good chance that at least one of the five will get a shot as an NFL-caliber starting cornerback.

Ranked 9th: Minnesota Vikings

The drama is brewing and headlines are flying out of Minnesota.  Tarvaris Jackson publicly stated his unhappiness, about Brett Favre’s likely arrival to the Vikings for this season. This could possibly start disrupting the team, and the entire offense. The offensive unit is dead in the water until all this gets worked out. Disruptions like this have been known to cause meltdowns in production on both sides of the ball. Jackson has been inconsistent with his play, and his decision making has been an issue. If Brett Farve makes the move, he will have to adapt to the new system quickly, and efficiently. Favre has been criticized on his accuracy, and his high interception percentages, is nothing new for Brett, and yes he is a gun slinging QB, however a damn good one. Receiver Bernard Berrian gives them the deep ball threat, and draft pick Percy Harvin is dynamic in the slot or the outside receiver role. With all of that, the Vikings have arguably the best back field in the league with MVP potential Adrian Peterson, and the talented Chester Taylor. They create opportunities for this west coast scheme by creating the play action very successful against opposing defenses. If they get production from the QB position, this unit will be tough to stop. My gut tells me Favre will get the starting job, and could bring significant improvement. On the other hand, he could come in and throw 3 interceptions a game. Chicago fans are excited about that possibility.

This defensive line is one of the best in the league, lead by Jared Allen and tackles Pat and Kevin Williams. All three were pro bowl players last season, and have tremendous play making abilities. Relentless pass rushing allows middle linebacker E.J. Henderson to maximize his fierce hitting and excellent coverage skills. The Tampa 2 package led by Coach Frazier, will blitz from every direction and boosts hard hitting corners and solid tackling from every position. The defensive backfield has been prone to the big plays. The concerns for Minnesota are getting free safety Madieu Williams as healthy as possible, hoping second-year strong safety Tyrell Johnson takes a step up, and becomes a solid player. If not, it will be exploited quickly.

Ranked 10th: New Orleans Saints

Drew Brees continues his success over some of the best secondary’s in the league. His offense is a top ranked unit in the in the NFL. Head coach Sean Payton and Brees are tuned to the same drum that beats to one of most explosive offensive attacks in the league. Look for Jeremy Shockey to have a solid season, as Brees’ looks to increase passing attempts to him. This offense has tremendous balance and depth. Both the air attack and the running assault are fundamentally sound. With Pierre Thomas, they have a solid rusher, and with Reggie Bush they have a top level speedster. Bush however has some durability concerns and keeping him healthy is a must. New Orleans is brimming with weapons through the air and on the ground. The offensive scheme will have variations in the formation designed to mismatch receivers. The Saints use creative plays designed around Brees’ and his ability to find and deliver to open receivers.

The improvement of the defense thus far has been decent; however it’s still their most visible weakness, that opposing teams will key in on. The starting defensive ends Will Smith and Charles Grant should improve, because Bill Johnson utilizes more aggressive and exotic attack scheme. The cover 2 scheme will use a ton of different looks, and blitzing packages to confuse opposing offenses. Jonathan Vilma will lead the linebacker production in the 4-3 defense effectively, however some question his size and bulk may catch up to him with injuries, and or physically outmatched.

Ranked 11th: Seattle Seahawks

Seattle Seahawks head coach Jim Mora has started to pick up the pieces of the clipped wing Seahawks. After a dismal season last year plagued by injuries, horrible player production and bad coaching. The Seahawks look to make a turnaround for 2009 with new coaching and talented players. New offensive coordinator Greg Knapp will keep the core scheme of their “west coast” offense. Seattle will have a balanced offensive attack, with heavy doses of Julius Jones, who has not broke the 1000 yard rushing mark sense 2006.  With an aging and questionable Matt Hasselbeck behind center, Seattle will attempt to exploit opposing secondary units with the pickup of TJ. Houshmandzadeh. Teamed up with Branch and Burleson this talented receiver corps does out-match most secondary units, however if Hasselbeck can’t get them the ball, it will prove yet another disappointing year.

Defensively Seattle has improved speed and production with the acquisition of outside linebacker Aaron Curry. New coordinator Casey Bradley will find himself with his hands full against talented offensive attack’s in the NFC however. This defensive unit has lost all respectability after last year, and has changed its scheme, to a Tampa 2 Zone defense. The new package should be more effective, because of the speed this defensive unit produces.

Ranked 12th: Washington Redskins

Owner Daniel Snyder went on a spending escapade, giving defensive tackle Albert Haynesworth a $100+ million and DeAngelo Hall a $45 million. The crazy thing is, for the most part, with the draft pick Brian Orakpo it all looks to work out defensively.  On the offensive side or things, upgrades were drastically needed, and not really addressed. Washington is not effective in downfield passing, which can lead to big plays that can instantly shift games and hide other problem areas. Washington was 24th in the NFL in yards-per-pass-attempt in the 2008. Quarterback Jason Campbell is very smart and even has most of the physical tools needed, but lacks big weapons that can get yards after the catch. Santana Moss and Antwaan Randle El will lead the way with Devin Thomas or Malcolm Kelly, if hopes to make the playoffs. The rushing attack has been poor, because of the offensive line production. They rely on Portis to much, and the receivers are in a new system.

Washington may just have a top 5 defense in the league. Haynesworth is impossible to block with one player and almost impossible to stop with two or more. Watch for the sack numbers of ends Phillip Daniels and Andre Carter to increase significantly and for opponents to avoid running up the middle. The offense and the strength of the rest of the division keep Washington from making the playoffs in 2009.

Ranked 13th: Tampa Bay Buccaneers

The Buccaneers just cleaned house after the end last season. Jon Gruden and GM Bruce Allen were fired. Veterans Derrick Brooks, Joey Galloway, Warrick Dunn, Cato June, and Ike Hilliard were all released. The Bucs new regime of GM Mark Dominik and head coach Raheem Morris watch a young team battle all year. The Bucs traditionally have anchored the offense on running the ball. Jeff jagodzinski, new offensive coordinator will take a more aggressive approach. The rushing attack, led by Earnest Graham and Derek Ward, could be unproductive because of the questionable line. Byron Leftwich, does not have a guaranteed starting position, however it’s safe to assume he’ll ultimately win the battle over Josh McCown, Josh Freeman and others. Leftwich will be considered a temp, until Freeman, the team’s 2009 first round pick takes over in the future, yet he could be a great asset to this team.

New head coach Raheem Morris has a strong defensive background and knowledge of the schemes. Ronde Barber and 2nd-year player Aqib Talib will be the starting corners. Talib is poised to break out after sitting behind departing free agent Phillip Buchanon. The Buccaneers finished at an impressive third in the NFL with 22 interceptions and 11th in fewest yards-per-attempt allowed. The secondary is one of the few things intact from last season, which is a good thing if you’re a Bucs fan.

Ranked 14th: Detroit Lions

Just as the car industry in Detroit has collapsed, so has its football club. The good news for Detroit is it can’t get any worse.  After a 0-16 season, the Lions were in more need of a federal bailout than, GM and Chrysler. Changes have been made from the top to the bottom including a new face at QB, rookie Matthew Stanford. The only dangerous aspect of Detroit is they will try anything. They have nothing to lose, so predicting what this team might do could back fire against opposing teams.

Let’s call a spade a spade. Detroit just needs to win one game to improve from last year. That win will not come against Chicago, and unfortunately may not come at all again this year. This team is rebuilding, and outside of a few good players like Calvin Johnson and break out D-end Cliff Avril, Detroit will be looking for play makers to fill the starting roles as they struggle through the season.

Ranked 15th: San Francisco 49ers

After finishing the 2008 season 5-2 under new head coach Iron Mike Singletary, San Francisco showed good improvement. The 49ers are better than they have been in a long time, but a tough schedule means they are still a few wins away from the post-season. The problem here is now seventh offensive coordinator in about 7 years, is causing inability for players like Frank Gore, to get adapted to coach’s play calling style. That causes confusion and they lose the ability to move the ball. Twice during those seven years, San Francisco has had the league’s least productive offense. New coordinator Jimmy Ray will need to pick his starting players, including his QB.  The 49ers are reviewing five pivots in camp, though the real battle will boil down to Shaun Hill vs. Alex Smith. The wide receiver position is up in the air and four receivers: Isaac Bruce, Josh Morgan, Arnaz Battle and Jason Hill are holdovers that could step up and claim the job. The team also acquired Brandon Jones from Tennessee, and then selected Michael Crabtree when he fell into their laps at the tenth spot in the draft. At this point only TE Vernon Davis and RB Frank Gore are assured their starting jobs. The situation with the rest of the roster might not sort itself out until midseason. One of the biggest concerns is turnovers. The 49ers tied Denver for the worst turnover margin in the league at -17 in 2008. The team had a particular issue with fumbles, losing the ball a league-high 16 times. Shaun Hill is the expected starting quarterback for the majority of the season. He looks to be an effective player, yet had eight interceptions and four fumbles in just nine games.

San Francisco’s run defense only allowed 3.8 yards-per-carry last year, ranking the team eighth overall. The 49ers held the NFL’s best , the New York Giants, to 3.5 yards-per-carry and the NFL’s fourth-leading rusher, Clinton Portis, to just 2.8 yards-per-carry. Inside linebacker Patrick Willis is an outstanding linebacker with good ability to read offensive tendencies. With games against Minnesota, Atlanta, Tennessee and Jacksonville, San Francisco will need its run defense to be at its best to compete out of the division. 49ers have a tuff schedule featuring seven games against 2008 playoff teams.

Ranked 16^th: St. Louis Rams

The greatest show on turf is gone. It’s been a long five years since the Rams posted a winning record. After starting their season 0-4, the St. Louis Rams fired Coach Scott Linnehan and replaced him with Jim Haslett. The Rams have made changes to the on-field, including the release of WR Torry Holt, OT Orlando Pace and LB Pisa Tinoisamoa. Holt leaves behind a corps of young WRs that will need a few years before I can say good, while Pace leaves an offensive line that looks ok at best. Tinoisamoa became expendable after the team drafted James Laurinaitis to play in the middle and moved Will Witherspoon from the middle to the weak side. They have battled injury-riddled and inconsistent offensive line. This offseason, they focused on finishing the rebuilding project to help Bulger and Jackson. C Jason Brown comes from Baltimore to help the middle of the line while second overall pick Jason Smith expects to make an impact at tackle. This upgrade in the offensive line, along with a West Coast Offense implemented by Shurmur, should help Bulger and Jackson improve offensive production. (Whatever that’s worth.)

Defensively the defensive line is chronically a weak spot, and still is. The run defense is one of the worst in the league and the pass defense is not any better. That will not change until someone in that organization wakes up. The team plans to stay with the 4-3 scheme without the players it needs to be successful. The bottom line is this. If you’re a Rams fan your season is over already.   

 

Wrote by: Andrew Maisonneuve-NFL Sports Writer

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Around the League with Carson Palmer, Cadillac Williams, and More

I have yet to draft in a fantasy league, but my time is coming as training camp nears. I don’t like drafting before August and prefer the week before the season starts.

I believe most of you should gear yourself toward that, and don’t forget, drafting with your buddies in person is the best way to draft. Make sure you have enough grub, music and trash talk to make it fun.

Just be careful with boozing it up. We’ve all had our bad days or nights with our good friends Jack or Jim, so make sure they don’t make you regret that team you put together.

 

Bengals | Palmer will be on a throw count in training camp

Joe Reedy, of The Cincinnati Enquirer, reports Cincinnati Bengals QB Carson Palmer says his elbow is 100 percent healthy. During OTAs and minicamp, the wide receivers said Palmer’s passes had the same old velocity and zip.

He is going to be on a pass count during training camp, and will not throw more than 150 passes per day. As the offseason drills went on, Palmer’s long passes appeared to be more consistent and crisper.

 

Bengals | Palmer provided feedback in offensive adjustments

Joe Reedy, of The Cincinnati Enquirer, reports Cincinnati Bengals QB Carson Palmer provided plenty of input to offensive coordinator Bob Bratkowski on the team’s playbook.

While most of the changes to the offense have been centered around more emphasis on the running game, Palmer is still expected to air it out with plenty of three-receiver sets.

My Take: We have no clue about what to expect from Palmer. Based on his average draft position provided by Mock Draft Central, my favorite ADP site, he is going 90th overall, the 13th quarterback taken. That is the eighth round in a 12-team league.

I wouldn’t want him as my No. 1 fantasy quarterback until I’ve seen him in action, and it’s too early to take my No. 2 fantasy quarterback in the eighth round.

The fact he has had a hand in trying to improve the offense states a lot about the team’s faith in him as well as his own commitment to winning.

However, the team took a hit when they lost receiver T.J. Houshmandzadeh, and that’s my real concern. Hold off on drafting Palmer that early until you see him play regardless of what you think today. Training camp will settle his true value.

 

Buccaneers | Williams will participate in camp

Tampa Bay Buccaneers head coach Raheem Morris said during an interview that RB Cadillac Williams (knee) will participate in training camp and is in the mix to receive some carries this season.

My Take: I have always believed this is the greatest country in the world, because if you’re talented and work hard enough good things WILL happen. To see Cadillac work as hard as he has to overcome not one but two devastating knee injuries makes my heart feel good—especially in a league where we know there are players just collecting checks.

Cadillac is going with the 208th pick on average, is the 68th running back taken and falls into the 18th round in a 12-team league.

However, the team is looking at Derrick Ward and Earnest Graham as their one-two punch. Both backs have a history of getting nicked up and hurt. If Cadillac can come back he could see some touches. Consider the quarterback position: The team would love to have rookie Josh Freeman light it up and show he can be a successful starter, even as a rookie.

We can all dream can’t we? You add the immobile, underachieving Byron Leftwich and inexperienced, never-proven Luke McCown, and you know this team will run. I believe you can hold off on Cadillac because, barring injuries, if he does see consistent playing time, it won’t come until later in the season.

 

Vikings | Allen getting annoyed with Favre’s indecision

Sam Farmer, of The Los Angeles Times, reports Minnesota Vikings DE Jared Allen said he would be fine with free-agent QB Brett Favre (Jets) joining the team but is getting annoyed with Favre’s indecision. “If we get Brett, then that’s a bonus. But let’s either get it done and get moving on with it or let it go. It’s not so much that it’s a distraction because we’re professionals and don’t really buy into that. But it’s annoying,” Allen said.

My Take: Nothing fantasy here, just a point that this is what the Favre saga has the potential to turn into: a locker room with disgruntled players. Remember, this is a team sport, and some of these players are close to having heard enough about how they need Favre for that elusive Super Bowl run.

Allen may be right in that it’s annoying, but it’s also distracting to the quarterbacks and receivers on roster. For the record, if you’re drafting now, Favre is still solid value as the 24th quarterback taken and the 185th overall pick, the 16th round in a 12-team league. He’s slowly moving up and once signed will probably make a big jump.

 

Jaguars | Fast fact: Jones-Drew’s carries have increased

NFL.com reports Jacksonville Jaguars RB Maurice Jones-Drew‘s carries have increased in each of his three seasons with the team. Jones-Drew had 166 carries in 2006, 167 carries in 2007 and 197 carries in 2008.

 

Jaguars | Jones-Drew feels offense will be explosive this season

Vic Carucci, of NFL.com, reports Jacksonville Jaguars RB Maurice Jones-Drew feels the team’s offense will bounce back in 2009, thanks to health and additions on the offensive line. “We’re back to where we were in the beginning,” Jones-Drew said. “When I first got (to Jacksonville), we were a powerhouse running attack, and we could block and do whatever we wanted to.

And with these guys coming back healthy and getting ready to play, it gets really exciting because I know we’re going to be able to run the ball and throw it. It’s going to be an explosive offense again.”

 

Jaguars | Jones-Drew will have help carrying running load

Vic Carucci, of NFL.com, reports even though Jacksonville Jaguars RB Maurice Jones-Drew will be the focal point of the team’s running game this season, he will likely share carries with the team’s other running backs. Jones-Drew’s relief includes RBs Rashad Jennings, Chauncey Washington, Alvin Pearman and FB Greg Jones.

“We have a boatload of guys that can play, so it’s not just me,” Jones-Drew said. “That’s one thing that everybody has to understand. There are a lot of guys that can go.”

My Take: Right now everything is pointing to Jones-Drew being, arguably, the top pick in point-per-reception leagues. Sure you hear about Chicago Bears running back Matt Forte and Minnesota Vikings running back Adrian Peterson; however, no one can argue Jones-Drew can’t make his own claim for the top spot.

I still have yet to decide whom I would take No. 1 as I’m still working on projections, but he’s a legit candidate. If the team can divide enough of the load to keep him fresh, he will be a force to reckon with.

I’m not concerned with his size as much as others are based on how he’s built; he’s short, stocky and powerful. While 208 pounds is not huge, it’s not small for a running back when you look at Emmitt Smith, who weighed 210 pounds at the same point in his career.

 

Don’t forget, I tend to post what’s happening in a breaking or timely manner as well as point you to solid links outside the KFFL world that should help you win your leagues. Follow me at http://twitter.com/wdelpilar

For St. Louis Rams, Signing Smith, Laurinaitis On Time a Top Priority

While it’s obviously too early to tell how the Rams’ 2009 draft class will turn out, there’s little question that their first two picks, Baylor offensive tackle Jason Smith and Ohio State middle linebacker James Laurinaitis, will have to have hugely successful rookie seasons if the Rams have any hopes at turning around their dismal performance of 2008.

 

Now they just need contracts.

 

With just a week until the opening of camp (rookies, quarterbacks and selected veterans report on July 29), Smith and Laurinaitis are two of four remaining unsigned rookies from the Rams’ 2009 NFL Draft class.

 

Rams lead negotiator Kevin Demoff doesn’t seem particularly concerned.

 

“I don’t lose any sleep,” Demoff told the St. Louis Post-Dispatch. “These things have a way of working themselves out…I would be shocked if there was a holdout.”

 

“I’m extremely confident that those guys will be here,” Demoff went on to say. “Unforeseen things happen, but I’d be very disappointed in both us and them if they weren’t here on time.”

 

And so would Rams fans.

 

New head coach Steve Spagnuolo is trying to set a new tone for the future, and Smith and Laurinaitis are two of the most important guys in rebuilding the talent level on the roster.

 

They need to be there from day one, and it’s not just for public relations or making a positive impression, though those are two important benefits. It’s because both guys need to be prepared to start in Week 1 at Seattle. That’s a little more than six weeks after camp opens, not exactly a lot of time to transform from college Big Man on Campus to NFL starter.

 

The two contracts to look at for Smith are those of 2008 first overall pick Jason Long, an offensive tackle like Smith, and 2008 second overall pick Chris Long, the defensive tackle selected out of Virginia by the Rams.

 

Jake Long signed with the Dolphins for $57.75 million over five years with $30 million guaranteed. Chris Long signed with St. Louis for five years and $48 million with $22.385 million guaranteed

 

It’s obviously not quite so simple as just splitting the difference, but you can expect Smith’s deal to end up right around $54 million over five years with $26 million guaranteed. (Those numbers go up if Smith signs a six-year deal instead of a five-year contract, though the per-year average would average out at just about the same.)

 

As for Laurinaitis, the 35th overall pick, neither the player chose immediately ahead of him (Oregon safety Patrick Chung by New England) or after (Ohio State teammate Brian Robiskie by the Browns) have inked deals.

Last year’s 35th overall pick, corner Brandon Flowers, signed with Kansas City for $3.215 million over four years with a $1.51 million signing bonus.

 

Here is the full run-down of the Rams draft picks and contracts:

 

OT Jason Smith, First Round (second overall) out of Baylor: Unsigned

 

LB James Laurinaitis, Second Round (35th overall) out of Ohio State: Unsigned

 

CB Bradley Fletcher, Third Round (66th overall) out of Iowa: Four-year deal including a signing bonus of $892,298 (total value undisclosed)

 

DT Dorell Scott, Fourth Round (103rd overall) out of Clemson: Unsigned

 

WR Brooks Foster, Fifth Round (160th overall) out of North Carolina: Four-year contract (terms undisclosed)

 

QB Keith Null, Sixth Round (196th overall) out of West Texas A&M: Unsigned

 

RB Chris Ogbonnaya, Seventh Round (211th overall) out of Texas: Four-year deal worth $1.816 million with a $66,000 signing bonus

 

Rams Open Up

 

With the Rams back in St. Louis after holding last year’s camp in Wisconsin, area fans will have ample opportunities to catch the rebuilding squad: A full 32 practice sessions and scrimmages during training camp are currently scheduled to be open to the public.

 

Considering most St. Louisans couldn’t go five deep on a list of current Rams, now is the time to get to know the new crop. Here’s the schedule released by the team. For up-to-date practice schedules please call the training camp hotline at 314-516-8852.

 

Thursday, July 30 (quarterbacks, rookies and selected veterans): Practices from 8:15 to 9:30 a.m. and 2:15 to 3:30 p.m.

 

Friday, July 31: Practice from 3 to 4:30 p.m.

 

Saturday, August 1: Practices from 8:15 to 10:30 a.m. and 2:45 to 4:25 p.m.

 

Sunday, August 2: Practices from 8:15 to 10:30 a.m. and 2:45 to 4:25 p.m.

 

Monday, August 3: Practices from 8:15 to 10:30 a.m. and 2:45 to 4:25 p.m.

 

Tuesday, August 4: Practices from 8:15 to 10:30 a.m. and 2:45 to 4 p.m.

 

Wednesday, August 5: Practices from 8:15 to 10:30 a.m. and 2:15 to 3:15 p.m.

 

Thursday, August 6: Practices from 8:15 to 10:30 a.m. and 2:45 to 4 p.m.

 

Friday, August 7: Practices from 8:15 to 9:55 a.m.; Scrimmage at 6:30 p.m. (Lindenwood University in St. Charles, Mo.)

 

Saturday, August 8: Practice from 2:45 to 4 p.m.

 

Sunday, August 9: Practices from 8:15 to 10:30 a.m. and 2:15 to 3:15 p.m.

 

Monday, August 10: Practices from 8:15 to 10:30 a.m. and 2:45 to 4 p.m.

 

Tuesday, August 11: Practices from 8:15 to 10:30 a.m. and 2:15 to 3:15 p.m.

 

Wednesday, August 12: Practices from 8:15 to 10:30 a.m. and 2:45 to 4 p.m.

 

Sunday, August 16: Practice from 2:30 to 4:45 p.m.

 

Monday, August 17: Practices from 8:15 to 10:30 a.m. and 1:25 to 2:45 p.m.

 

Tuesday, August 18: Practices from 8:15 to 10:30 a.m. and 1:25 to 2:45 p.m.

 

Wednesday, August 19: Practice from 11:15 a.m. to 12:45 p.m.

 

Sunday, August 23: Practice from 2:30 to 4:45 p.m.

 

 

Final Note

 

I know it’s a tough economy, and businesses everywhere are scrambling for dollars, but the Rams’ official training camp this year is called the “2009 St. Louis Rams Bud Light Training Camp presented by Russell Athletic.”

 

Seems a bit much, no?

Buffalo Bills’ 2009 Training Camp Battle: Strong Side Linebacker

As the Bills kick off their training camp July 25, there will be a few position battles to keep a close eye on.

Perhaps the most heated competition will take place at strong side linebacker where incumbent Keith Ellison, second-year man Alvin Bowen and rookie Nic Harris will battle for the starting job.

Ellison has the most experience and the inside track but either Bowen or Harris has a chance to unseat him with a strong camp and preseason.

Here is a closer look at the three leading candidates for Buffalo’s starting strong side linebacker job this season:

Keith Ellison: Ellison found himself as the strong side starter last year when Angelo Crowell went on injured reserve just before the start of the season and the Bills needed someone to step up. Ellison proved to be the guy.

Ellison is your classic overachiever. The former sixth-round draft pick out of Oregon State moved over from his weak side linebacker spot and started 14 games in place of Crowell for Buffalo in 2008.

Like many of the Bills’ defensive players from a year ago, Ellison was steady but not spectacular. He recorded 73 tackles but there were no sacks, interceptions or forced fumbles.

The Bills’ defense had a terrible time getting off the field and creating turnovers in 2008 and Ellison certainly didn’t help in that department. Again, steady but unspectacular.

The Bills want to win now and it’s no secret that head coach Dick Jauron’s job is on the line this season. This is another advantage in Ellison’s corner.

Even though Bowen and Harris both could have more upside than Ellison, the veteran will probably be viewed as the safer bet to start the season. Jauron may not want to deal with the growing pains of a younger player in such a pivotal season.

Jauron has always put a premium on players who have familiarity with his system, so going by history it would appear the strong side linebacker job is Ellison’s to lose heading into training camp.

Alvin Bowen: When I worked for Patriots.com we would get scouting videos of the draft prospects coming out so we could evaluate them ourselves. It was kind of our opportunity to be amateur scouts.

Bowen was a guy that really jumped out at me as a possible sleeper when we watched him on tape. He played on a bad Iowa State team but Bowen made plays all over the field.

I was excited when Buffalo drafted him because I thought Bowen’s size and style of play was a good fit for the Bills’ defensive scheme.

To me, Bowen is the wild card in this battle. Ellison is the favorite but he is kind of ripe for the picking. Harris has the biggest upside but is making the transition from safety and most likely won’t be ready to start in 2009.

That leaves Bowen as the guy who could come up and take control of the starting job with an impressive camp.

Two things that really stuck out at me when watching Bowen play in college were his tenacity and quickness to the ball. Not only did Bowen get to the ball carrier quickly but he made him pay once he got there.

Bowen is a big-time hitter. A player like that can help create more turnovers, an area the Bills need to improve in dramatically from a season ago.

Of course, Bowen is coming off knee surgery from an ACL injury that cost him his entire rookie season, so we don’t know how much of that speed, if any, he lost.

I’m not on the Bills’ medical or coaching staff, so I don’t know for sure how Bowen’s knee is holding up but reports are he is doing great.

If that’s the case, Bowen possesses all the other qualities Jauron, Perry Fewell, and the rest of Buffalo’s defensive coaches look for in an outside linebacker.

As long as Bowen is 100 percent healthy, expect him to make a strong push for the starting strong side linebacker job in training camp.

Nic Harris: I am what you call a college football junkie. One player that I have been intrigued by and have followed a lot over the last couple of years is Harris, so I know a great deal about him and what he brings to the table.

I can tell you that I thought he was playing out of position at Oklahoma and when I saw that the Bills drafted him, the first thing I thought was “strong side linebacker.”

Anyone who follows the college game closely knows the Big 12 is all about passing offenses and Harris was one of the worst coverage safeties in the country.

The quick receivers on teams like Texas, Texas Tech, Missouri, Kansas, and Oklahoma State abused Harris. To put it bluntly, Harris is terrible when it comes to trying to cover and tackle receivers in space.

However, when Bob Stoops would move Harris close to the line of scrimmage in the “rover back” role against running teams, Harris became arguably the best defensive player on the field.

It was an amazing transformation. The bottom line is Harris just wasn’t cut out to be a safety and was playing out of position in college most of the time.

I don’t think Harris will begin the year as Buffalo’s starting strong side linebacker because he is learning a completely new position and it’s just too much to ask from a rookie.

Talking just in terms of athletic ability and upside, Harris has the most to offer out of the three players in this group.

Like I said, I have watched this kid play a lot and if he can master the mental part of the NFL game, I truly believe Harris may be the future for the Bills at strong side linebacker, with the future being next season if everything goes according to plan.

However, for 2009 Harris will most likely learn the position as a backup and use his speed to become a key contributor on special teams.

Overview: Jauron and his staff have a tendency to go the safe route. It’s a strategy I don’t personally agree with but then again, I’m not the head coach. However, a coach like Jeff Fisher is more likely to go with a younger player with upside and live through his mistakes than a more conservative coach like Jauron.

Because of Jauron’s history of being cautious in his decision making, it’s hard to imagine he won’t go with Ellison as his starting strong side linebacker.

While this decision won’t doom the Bills, I would like to see Jauron go with Bowen if it’s close because I believe he has a higher ceiling than Ellison.

I re-watched most of the Bills’ games from last season this summer and there were a few players I really spotlighted, including Ellison. He is the epitome of average.

Teams love to run right at him and more often than not he gets caught up with blockers or runs himself out of a play.

Ellison is a hard worker and he gives his all on every single play. He doesn’t complain and he does everything asked of him. There is something to be said for that.

On the field though, Ellison is restricted physically and the truth is other teams know it and take advantage of his limitations.

Again, I don’t believe Harris is going to be ready until 2010 at the earliest and I’m not suggesting Buffalo start someone other than Ellison just to do so. If Ellison wins the job than by all means, he deserves to be on the field opening night against the Patriots.

But by the same token if Bowen outperforms Ellison and shows a lot of promise, the Bills’ coaching staff shouldn’t feel obligated to go with the veteran just because he’s the “safe” choice.

Safe isn’t going to unseat the Patriots and Dolphins in the AFC East. Safe isn’t going to get the Bills into the postseason for the first time since 1999. Safe isn’t going to keep Jauron in Buffalo beyond 2009.

While this should be a heated competition over the next month, expect Jauron to stick to his guns and go with the veteran Ellison at strong side linebacker.

Either way, look for the talented youngsters Bowen and Harris to make it a difficult choice for Jauron right up until the very end.

2009 Fantasy Football Quarterback Rankings

Injuries to big names (Tom Brady, Carson Palmer, Matt Hasselbeck), the emergence of a new class of QBs (Philip Rivers, Jay Cutler, Aaron Rodgers), rejuvenations (Kurt Warner, Chad Pennington), stellar rookies (Matt Ryan and Joe Flacco) and a quarterback in the top 10 that hadn’t started since high school (Matt Cassel), yes, 2008 was indeed an interesting year for the quarterback position.

What’s in store for 2009?

Simply continue reading, and you’ll find out as the Bruno Boys provide their take on the NFL’s top-50 fantasy football quarterbacks.

 

TIER 1

1. Drew Brees—New Orleans Saints (Bye: 5)

Drew Brees of the New Orleans Saints entered last season with high expectations after a strong finish to the 2007 season. And, Brees did not disappoint. Unlike the 2007 season, Brees started last year off on the right foot with eight touchdowns to only four interceptions in the first four games of the year. The Saints, however, did not enjoy the same level of success as Brees did as New Orleans never won more than two consecutive games in the season, finishing the year 8-8.

Brees, on the other hand, went on to enjoy the finest season of his career as he threw multiple touchdowns in 11 games, including the final six of the season, which included a pair of four-touchdown games. Brees finished 2008 by throwing for 5,069 yards, 34 touchdowns and 17 interceptions; all while completing 65.0 percent of his passes.

He, also, took the fewest sacks (13) in a season for his career and finished with an average yards per attempt of 8.0, highlighting his efficiency.

New Orleans returns many of their play-makers on offense, including receivers Marques Colston, Lance Moore and Devery Henderson, tight end Jeremy Shockey and running backs Reggie Bush and Pierre Thomas. Thomas will fill the role of the retired Deuce McAllister, so there are some questions at the running back position for the Saints, but that just means more opportunities for Brees.

The offensive line is more than adequate and should do a fine job protecting Brees. The thing against Brees is he can be prone to interceptions from time to time as he had five multiple-interception games last season. With a strong supporting cast, his big-game potential and the fact that he usually plays exceptional in the second half of the season, Brees gets the nod as the top-rated quarterback entering the 2009 season. A repeat of last year’s numbers, or potentially slightly better, is a safe bet.

 

2. Peyton Manning—Indianapolis Colts (Bye: 6)

Last season, Indianapolis Colts’ quarterback, Peyton Manning, was edged by New England Patriots’ quarterback Tom Brady for the top spot among fantasy football QBs on draft day. However, while Brady went down with an injury in week one, Manning rewarded his owners with another fine season despite injuries to key players on the offensive side of the ball, such as Marvin Harrison and Joseph Addai as well as inconsistency issues from other players, such as Anthony Gonzalez. 

At the start of last season, Manning didn’t appear set for a good 2008 as he threw just three touchdowns and four interceptions in the Colts’ first three games and had nine of his 12 interceptions before week nine. After that, though, Manning found his groove, finishing with 17 touchdowns and three interceptions in the last nine games of the regular season. 

With the way Manning finished last season, it appears he is primed for a great year in 2009. Harrison is gone, but returning at wide receiver are Reggie Wayne and Anthony Gonzalez, and Dallas Clark always makes for a strong target at tight end. A healthy Addai will help the run game, but to make sure the Colts are covered there, the team spent their first-round pick on Donald Brown from Connecticut. The offensive line should be as solid as usual, helped by an improving Tony Ugoh at left tackle.

All that is nice, but there are some major questions.

How will Manning and the Colts fare without former head coach Tony Dungy, former offensive coordinator Tom Moore and former offensive line coach Howard Mudd? All three were key cogs for the Colts during the Manning era. However, Manning had basically taken control of the offense anyway with his ability to call plays, audibles and hot routes from the line whenever he chose, so this should not affect the Colts too much, at least for this season.

Secondly, who is going to step up and play the third receiver role? Possible candidates include Austin Collie, Roy Hall and Pierre Garcon, but all are extremely inexperienced and unproven. Due to questions like these, Manning may never reach his 2004 numbers again, but a 30-touchdown season is certainly in the cards.

 

3. Tom Brady—New England Patriots (Bye: 8)

Fresh off a tough loss to the New York Giants in Super Bowl XLII, Tom Brady and the Patriots appeared ready for a huge 2008 season. Brady, in particular, appeared to be hitting his peak in terms of individual performances and statistics, causing many people to pencil him in as a top-five fantasy football pick last year. Alas, it was only eight minutes into the season last year when Brady took a shot to the knee from Kansas City Chiefs’ safety Bernard Pollard that sidelined Brady for the rest of the season.

A torn ACL was the diagnosis and Brady opted for surgery with a family doctor instead of the New England team doctor. Two post-op surgeries were necessary to clean the knee out and remove infections, and it was suspected Brady wouldn’t be ready for the start of the 2009 season. Statements from himself, his teammates and his coaches have, however, put that rumor to bed.

So, Brady enters this season healthy enough to start from the beginning. Nevertheless, make no mistake about it, no matter what he or anybody from the New England organization says, Brady’s knee is not 100 percent and likely won’t be at all in 2009. Still, it is his arm that matters and that is intact and fine. Thus, to evaluate Brady’s potential for this season let’s look at a similar case, when Cincinnati Bengals’ quarterback, Carson Palmer, returned from an ACL injury he suffered in the 2005 playoffs to start the 2006 season.

Palmer was shaky in his first few starts, but fought through it to finish with good numbers, throwing 28 touchdowns to only 13 interceptions. Now, considering that Brady is a better quarterback, on a better team and has had considerably more time to recover, and it’s easy to expect a return to a 30+ touchdown performance. What you can’t expect is a repeat of his 2007 season. Still, Brady is one of the top quarterbacks, and players in fantasy football.

 

TIER 2

4. Philip Rivers—San Diego Chargers (Bye: 5)
5. Kurt Warner—Arizona Cardinals (Bye: 4)
6. Aaron Rodgers—Green Bay Packers (Bye: 5)
7. Donovan McNabb—Philadelphia Eagles (Bye: 4)
8. Tony Romo—Dallas Cowboys (Bye: 6)

 

TIER 3

9. Jay Cutler—Chicago Bears (Bye: 5)
10. Matt Ryan—Atlanta Falcons (Bye: 4)
11. Carson Palmer—Cincinnati Bengals (Bye: 8)
12. Matt Schaub—Houston Texans (Bye: 10)

To read all 50 QB player profiles and check out the rest of our 2009 FANTASY FOOTBALL QUARTERBACK RANKINGS click this link... FREE FANTASY FOOTBALL PLAYER RANKINGS

5 Reasons Not to Take Adrian Peterson No. 1

Roethilsberger Takes a Blind-Side Hit

This morning, I clicked on The Big Lead to find this shocker of a headline:

 

“Ben Roethlisberger charged with sexual assault.”

 

It was a jaw-dropper of the highest degree. Big Ben? Sexual assault? What in the world was this all about? 

 

(This is where, if I were a coffee drinker, I could say, “That news hit me harder than my morning coffee,” or, “I nearly spilled my morning coffee all over myself when I saw that.”  It’s too bad I’m not a coffee drinker.)

 

Anyway, the news seems bad on all fronts.

 

It couldn’t have come at a worse time for Roethlisberger, who was preparing to meet up with Shaq on some sort of pseudo-reality football show. Oh yeah, and he was also preparing for reality football, also known as training camp, which opens in 10 days.

 

Unlike ESPN, the Pittsburgh papers and many other national sports media have covered the story in depth. The complaint has some particularly brutal allegations, which can be summed up as follows: The woman claims Roethlisberger called her up to his Lake Tahoe hotel room to fix a television, confined her in the room against her will, and sexually assaulted her.

 

None of this bodes well for Roethlisberger. 

 

While he is innocent until proven guilty, he still must answer these claims, and his public image may have taken a hit from the blind side that he won’t be able to bounce back from for quite some time.

 

It should also be noted that the accuser in this situation doesn’t exactly look good at this point. The incident happened a year ago, there were never any criminal charges filed, and everyone but the mayor of Reno is named in the suit. 

 

No policemen or detectives in the Washoe County area presumably heard about any of this until today. And, as some have already pointed out, many of these details are eerily similar to the Kobe Bryant rape case of 2003.

 

The current incident also casts an ominous cloud over Pittsburgh’s 2009 season, which looked much more promising only 24 hours ago. 

 

The last time the Steelers entered a season defending the Lombardi trophy, they had a nightmare offseason. Roethlisberger crashed his motorcycle in June and had an appendectomy days before the opener. Santonio Holmes was arrested twice before training camp.

 

Roethlisbeger went on to have the worst season of his career, and the Steelers missed the playoffs. Hopefully, history won’t repeat itself with this situation.

 

A couple of months ago, I wrote a profile of Big Ben and called my article “What do you think of Ben Roethlisberger now?” (It was a play on the title of Richard Ben Cramer’s famous essay about Ted Williams). That title now seems sadly ironic given the current twist of fate.

 

There has been no word yet from coach Mike Tomlin or owner Dan Rooney, and Roethlisberger cancelled a press conference scheduled for Thursday. Steelers spokesman Dave Lockett issued only the following brief statement:

 

“We have heard Ben’s side of the story and we support him at this time.”

 

Couldn’t have said it better myself. Hopefully, by the time training camp starts, we can just talk football. 

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