NFL Stat Analysis: Yards Per Attempt: More Important Than You Think

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for NFLSportChannel.com

Published: September 25, 2009

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... started, I started looking at some data to see if there is any way to predict a team's offensive output (in terms of points).



Before I get to that, I want to give a little background. I'm of the ever shrinking school of thought that a quarterback should not be judged by his win-loss record. Working backwards, I decided that quarterbacks have much more control over their team's offensive output than they do over the actual game results. That's why my first article/analysis/"journey into loser-dome" is trying to find the stats that can predict offensive output.

I started off by looking at a couple of basic stats:

  1. Yards per attempt
  2. Interception %
  3. Average points given up by opponent (with the game being analyzed backed out)

I'll dig into more stats as I get more time, but I wanted to get moving on this.

The first thing I did was look at the correlation of each of these individual statist...

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