NFL Draft Analysis: Bustology 101

By
for NFLSportChannel.com

Published: July 25, 2009

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... question on most people's minds is the same:

Will [insert name here] actually play like a first-rounder or will he bust?

Well, I decided to dig deeper into the dismal world of NFL Draft busts to help you, the fans, have a better idea of whether a player picked in the first round is going to bust or not, based on what part of the round they are picked in and what position they play.

My formula is this:

General consensus is that any player taken in the first round is expected to be a full-time starter within their first three years in the league, and to hold that position for the better part of a decade.

So, looking at the past five drafts (up to 2006, due to the aforementioned three-year grace period), I decided to figure out where in the first round each position's biggest and smallest bust rate is, based on that consensus.

How I determined which players could be labeled as "busts" is simple: if a player picked in the firs...

Read Complete Article at Bleacher Report - NFL
Article Source: BleacherReport.com


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