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NFL Football Players Draft Injuries Rookies Season SuperbowlPublished: October 23, 2009
Jay Cutler jumped up a few spots while injuries affected the bottom of the rankings. Let’s take a look at our updated QB rankings for Week Seven:
Notes:
Original Notes:
What are your thoughts? Who was left off the list? Who should be higher? Who should be lower?
Other Week 7 Rankings:
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Published: October 20, 2009
Targets is one of the hot stats this year for fantasy football owners, so let’s take a look at some of the recent trends:
Increase Targets (excluding those with Week 5 bye):
1. Derrick Mason: Baltimore Ravens: +11
2. Larry Fitzgerald: Arizona Cardinals: +9
2. DeSean Jackson: Philadelphia Eagles: +9
2. Brian Westbrook: Philadelphia Eagles: +9
2. Dustin Keller: New York Jets: +9
2. Chris Cooley: Washington Redskins: +9
Michael Sims-Walker didn’t have a bye, but he was suspended for Week 5 and therefore was not included on this list. The Eagles pretty much ditched the run, attempting just 14 rushes. That helps explain why both Jackson and Westbrook saw an increase in targets, but don’t expect them to continue at that pace.
It was nice to see Cooley get back in the mix, after being relegated to mostly blocking duties in Week 5. You should expect him to continue to see increased looks. Seeing Mason at the top of this list should not be a big surprise. He was stifled by the Bengals defense last week, but you knew the Ravens were going to try to get him the ball this time around.
Decrease in Targets:
1. Eddie Royal: Denver Broncos: -11
2. Michael Clayton: Tampa Bay Buccaneers: -9
3. Antonio Bryant: Tampa Bay Buccaneers: -8
3. Kellen Winslow: Tampa Bay Buccaneers: -8
5. Jamaal Charles: Kansas City Chiefs: -6
5. Todd Heap: Baltimore Ravens: -6
5. Muhsin Muhammad: Carolina Panthers: -6
Is it a big surprise to see the three Buccaneers on this list? Having thrown the ball 50 times last week, they had no place to go but down. Eddie Royal may not have had the looks in the passing game, but he surely made an impact returning kicks, taking both a kickoff and a punt to the house. He still has tremendous value and is useful in all formats.
Top Receivers Targeted:
1. Larry Fitzgerald: Arizona Cardinals: 15
2. Andre Johnson: Houston Texans: 14
2. Dwayne Bowe: Kansas City Chiefs: 14
4. Hines Ward: Pittsburgh Steelers: 12
4. DeSean Jackson: Philadelphia Eagles: 12
4. Derrick Mason: Baltimore Ravens: 11
7. Wes Welker: New England Patriots: 11
7. Ray Rice: Baltimore Ravens: 11
7. Lee Evans: Buffalo Bills: 11
7. Zach Miller: Oakland Raiders: 11
7. Brian Westbrook: Philadelphia Eagles: 11
7. Michael Sims-Walker: Jacksonville Jaguars: 11
13. Mohammad Massaquoi: Cleveland Browns: 10
13. Randy Moss: New England Patriots: 10
13. Dustin Keller: New York Jets: 10
13. Devin Hester: Chicago Bears: 10
13. Greg Olsen: Chicago Bears: 10
18. Tony Gonzalez: Atlanta Falcons: 9
18. Owen Daniels: Houston Texans: 9
18. Braylon Edwards: New York Jets: 9
18. Steve Breaston: Arizona Cardinals: 9
18. Mario Manningham: New York Giants: 9
18. Andre Caldwell: Cincinnati Bengals: 9
18. Mike Thomas: Jacksonville Jaguars: 9
18. Antonio Gates: San Diego Chargers: 9
18. Chris Cooley: Washington Redskins: 9
Only five players who were in the Top 20 in Week 5 were in the Top 20 this week (Wes Welker, Dwayne Bowe, Andre Johnson, Tony Gonzalez, and Owen Daniels). There were seven tight ends (Gonzalez, Daniels, Zach Miller, Dustin Keller, Greg Olsen, Antonio Gates, and Chris Cooley) in the Top 20 this week, compared to five (Gonzalez, Daniels, Vernon Davis, Kellen Winslow, and Todd Heap) in Week 5. Two running backs came in the Top 20 for Week 7 (Ray Rice and Brian Westbrook) after none were in the Top 20 last week.
Two Games of 10+ Targets over past three weeks:
Hines Ward-Pittsburgh Steelers, Dwayne Bowe-Kansas City Chiefs, Michael Sims-Walker-Jacksonville Jaguars, Andre Johnson-Houston-Texans, Mohammad Massaquoi-Cleveland Browns, Chad Ochocinco-Cincinnati Bengals, Derrick Mason-Baltimore Ravens
Three Games of 10+ Targets over past three weeks:
Wes Welker-New England Patriots
Need more help in trying to decide who to start this week, check out our weekly rankings by clicking here.
This article is also featured on www.rotoprofessor.com/football
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Published: October 18, 2009
It was a crazy afternoon of football with some star players shining with some huge performances. You had QBs like Ben Roethlisberger (417 yards) and Tom Brady (6 TD). You had RB like Maurice Jones-Drew (3 TD) and Thomas Jones (210 yards).
You had WR/TE like Sidney Rice (176 yards) and Larry Fitzgerald (13 catches). Let’s take a look at the good, the bad and the ugly from Week 6:
Green Bay Packers 26, Detroit Lions 0
Buffalo Bills 16, New York Jets 13 (Overtime)
What do you think was the biggest story coming out of yesterday’s games? Who was the brightest star? Who was the biggest disappointment?
This article is also featured on www.rotoprofessor.com/football
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Published: October 17, 2009
We all know that tight end is one of the most unpredictable positions to rank from week-to-week, with any player having the potential to post a big day. With that said, let’s take a look at how I’d rank them for the upcoming week:
Quick Thoughts:
Other Week 6 Rankings:
What are your thoughts? Who was left off the list? Who should be higher? Who should be lower?
This article is also featured on www.rotoprofessor.com/football
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Published: October 15, 2009
Earlier this morning we posted our rankings for the quarterbacks in Week Six (click here to view). Next up is this week’s running back rankings. Who could be in store for a big day? Who could be ready to disappoint? Let’s take a look:
Quick Thoughts:
What are your thoughts? Who was left off the list? Who should be higher? Who should be lower?
This article is also featured on www.rotoprofessor.com/football
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Published: October 13, 2009
Let’s take a look at some players who are potentially on your waiver wire after Week Five and determine if they are worth owning or not:
Miles Austin—WR—Dallas Cowboys
He had a humongous day, going off for 10 catches, 250 yards and two touchdowns in the absence of Roy Williams. It’s not like Williams has been excessively impressive, is it? The early word coming out of this game is that Austin is going to see an increased role in the offense, despite the team not coming out and specifically crowning him one of their starting wide outs. Still, if you have room on your bench, he’s certainly worth stashing heading into his bye week.
Verdict: Should be owned in all formats.
Jeremy Maclin—WR—Philadelphia Eagles
He was solid in the return of Donovan McNabb, catching six passes for 142 yards and a pair of touchdowns. Of course, the rookie isn’t expected to be the main focus in the offense, with DeSean Jackson entrenched as the top receiver as well as Brian Westbrook always being in the mix. Still, Maclin has the potential to have solid games like this one on occasion, meaning that owners in deeper formats can own him.
Verdict: Leave for those in deeper formats where he can be a fill-in option.
Austin Collie—WR—Indianapolis Colts
For the second straight week, Collie put up big statistics. While he’s been great, they have a bye week on the horizon and the imminent return of Anthony Gonzalez is growing nearer and nearer. Once he returns, Collie’s role in the offense is likely to diminish, meaning now may not be the best time to stash him away.
Verdict: While he could prove usable as a bye week replacement in the future, that’s all I’d view him as.
Tashard Choice—RB—Dallas Cowboys
Is he going to remain part of the rotation once Felix Jones is back in the mix? It will be an awfully crowded backfield between Jones, Choice and Marion Barber, so depending on Choice doesn’t seem like the best idea. Barber is likely to be the main back, but none will be a guarantee for a huge week.
Verdict: Too many backs to depend on. Look elsewhere outside of leagues with a FLEX.
Donnie Avery—WR—St. Louis Rams
Someone has to have a good game now and then for this terrible team, right? I know, it’s usually Steven Jackson, but someone else is entitled. Still, with how bad this offense is, you don’t want to be depending on anyone.
Verdict: Not worth using considering the offense he’s in.
Chester Taylor—RB—Minnesota Vikings
Yeah, he had a somewhat decent game in a blowout (20 yards, 1 TD), but that’s about the only way he’s going to get an opportunity to really contribute. Next week the Vikings draw the Ravens, so it’s unlikely that’s about to happen.
Verdict: Don’t use in any format.
Josh Johnson—QB—Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Does anyone expect Tampa Bay to throw the ball 50 times very often? Even with all those attempts, he only had 240 yards while throwing three interceptions. He’s a desperation play in two quarterback formats and even then, you should be able to find someone better.
Verdict: Only use as a bye week fill-in if you have no other option in two quarterback formats.
Mike Wallace—WR—Pittsburgh Steelers
He’s put together a couple of strong weeks in a row, but we all know that he’s the fourth option on his own team. That makes him a tough play.
Verdict: There are certainly more dependable options available.
What are your thoughts on these players? Which would you grab? Which would you avoid?
This article is also featured on www.rotoprofessor.com/football
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Published: October 12, 2009
Increase Targets (excluding those with Week Four bye):
1. ‘Michael Clayton – Tampa Bay Buccaneers – +10
2. Eddie Royal – Denver Broncos – +9
2. Kellen Winslow – Tampa Bay Buccaneers – +9
4. Vernon Davis – San Francisco 49ers – +8
5. Miles Austin – Dallas Cowboys – +7
5. Jamal Charles – Kansas City Chiefs – +7
Decrease in Targets:
1. Steve Smith – New York Giants – -12
2. Mike Sims-Walker – Jacksonville Jaguars – -11
2. Calvin Johnson – Detroit Lions – -11
4. Chris Cooley – Washington Redskins – -10
4. Derrick Mason – Tennessee Titans – -10
What are your thoughts on the trends? Where is the biggest surprise?
This article is also featured on www.rotoprofessor.com/football
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Published: October 6, 2009
Let’s take a look at some players who are potentially on your waiver wire after Week Four and determine if they are worth owning or not:
Rashard Mendenhall—Running Back—Pittsburgh Steelers—There have been questions surrounding Willie Parker since the preseason. With Mendenhall performing as he did (165 yards rushing, 26 yards receiving and 2 TD), owners of Parker have got to be nervous unless you had already handcuffed him. At the very least, you have to believe that Mendenhall will likely see an increased role in the coming weeks. At worst, Parker (who was averaging just 3.1 yards per carry), becomes the understudy. Either way, Mendenhall is worth grabbing in any format.
Verdict: Worthy of owning in all formats.
Mohamed Massaquoi—Wide Receiver—Cleveland Browns—Bad teams spawn good statistics. It’s odd to think of, but how often are they going to be trying to get themselves back into games? Massaquoi, a second-round draft choice out of Georgia, found himself the constant focus of Derek Anderson (in his first start of the season, but we’ll get to him shortly), having 13 passes thrown his way. It led to eight catches for 148 yards and the potential that he has become the go-to guy in Cleveland (as Braylon Edwards has disappointed with just 139 yards and 0 TD). He’s a gamble, but if you are in need of a WR he’s likely one worth taking, though he’s not a player you want to be depending on every week.
Verdict: Worthy of owning as a bench option for now.
Mercedes Lewis—Tight End—Jacksonville Jaguars—We all know how temperamental tight ends can be, so I can’t get too excited about his fairly big week (four catches for 76 yards and one touchdown). There’s someone like this nearly every week.
Verdict: Don’t bother.
Nate Washington—Wide Receiver—Tennessee Titans—There are three receivers who seem to be taking turns at being the go-to guy in Tennessee, with Kenny Britt and Justin Gage also getting plenty of looks. This week it was Washington who had the most targets (12, with Britt at 11 and Gage at five), but Gage led the way in two of the first three weeks. Not knowing who is going to be the consistent go-to guy limits the value of all of these receivers, as this is far from a Larry Fitzgerald/Anquan Boldin scenario. Washington does have a TD in each of his last three games, but he was shaken up towards the end of last week’s game, so you never know. I’d consider him just a low-end option as a bye week replacement at this point, since there’s no guarantee he sees the ball too often.
Verdict: Grab him only if you are desperate.
Derek Anderson—Quarterback—Cleveland Browns—He’s not a starting option in one-quarterback formats, but if you are in a two-quarterback format it’s a different story. He was extremely impressive in his first start, going 26-48 for 269 yards, 1 TD and 1 INT. Given how bad Brady Quinn was over the first three weeks, he’s likely earned himself a lengthy look behind center. He’s proven how good he could be in the past (let’s not forget he threw for over 3,700 yards and 29 TD in 2007), and there is reason to believe that he could thrive again.
Verdict: Should be owned in all two-quarterback formats.
Hakeem Nicks—Wide Receiver—New York Giants—He had a big reception, making a nice play on a screen pass to take it 54 yards for the TD, but that was the only catch he made. He’s not likely to move up the depth chart very quickly, with Steve Smith emerging as the main man in New York.
Verdict: Not worth owning.
Sean Ryan—Tight End—Kansas City Chiefs—It was a nice game catching five passes for 58 yards and a touchdown, but he may be the best example for what I said regarding Mercedes Lewis above. You really just never know about tight ends so don’t bother getting excited over one good week.
Verdict: Not worth owning.
What are your thoughts on these players? Which would you grab? Which would you avoid?
This article is also featured on www.rotoprofessor.com/football
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Published: October 3, 2009
As we head into Week Four of the football season there are a lot of injuries that fantasy owners need to be aware of. Who’s going to play? Should I pick up their replacement? Let’s take a look at a few of the bigger questions:
Jamal Lewis – Cleveland Browns
He’s doubtful to play thanks to hamstring problems, as he did not practice at all this week. James Davis, expected to get significant carries, was added to the injury report due to a shoulder problem and is listed as questionable. It’s tough to rely on any of the Cleveland backs this week, but if you are desperate in deeper formats Jerome Harrison is the only way to go.
LaDanian Tomlinson – San Diego Chargers
He’s listed as probable. I’m one of the few that are extremely high on him (click here to see where I recommended him as a buy low candidate). Darren Sproles was not all that impressive last week and despite facing a tough Steelers defense, Tomlinson should be able to make an impact. I’d consider using him, depending on your other options.
Matt Hasselbeck – Seattle Seahawks
He’s been ruled out, meaning Seneca Wallace will once again behind center. They could be in store for a shootout against the Colts, making Wallace an excellent sleeper choice in all two quarterback formats.
Willie Parker – Pittsburgh Steelers
He’s listed as doubtful due to turf toe, as he’s missed a few days of practice. I can’t imagine him playing, meaning Rashard Mendenhall has a chance this week to really entrench himself as a potential fantasy option for those with a FLEX option. If he’s available, he’s a solid sleeper.
Dwayne Bowe – Kansas City Chiefs
Listed as questionable due to a hamstring injury, Bowe draws a tough match-up against the Giants as it is. He’s a game-time decision, so if you have a viable alternative you may want to turn to him.
Kevin Smith – Detroit Lions
He’s listed as questionable due to shoulder concerns. Luckily, he plays in an early game so you’ll be able to make a decision either way. He’s not going to get the Redskins defense again (who he rushed for 101 yards against in Week Three), but if he’s in the line-up he should be active in fantasy formats.
Ahmad Bradshaw – New York Giants
He’s been in a boot at times this week thanks to an ankle injury, but he is expected to take the field. However, with these injury concerns, if you were hoping to capitalize on a big game during garbage time, I’d have reservations. It would be much safer to look elsewhere this week.
Domenik Hixon – New York Giants
He’s out for this week, and coupled with Hakeem Nicks hurting, another big week should be in store for Steve Smith & Mario Manningham.
Wes Welker – New England Patriots
At least he practiced yesterday, meaning there’s a better chance he plays but who really knows. Check the news to see, but I’d have to think he’s going to be limited if he does take the field.
Antonio Bryant – Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Does anyone really care? It’s going to be Josh Johnson behind center, so who knows how good the passing game is going to be. Given the way it performed last week it can’t be any worse, but I’d shy away from him if possible.
Derrick Ward – Tampa Bay Buccaneers
With Cadillac Williams present, any questions surrounding Ward should cause you to shy away. He’s listed as questionable due to a knee injury, which is enough for me to look at other options.
Clinton Portis – Washington Redskins
The news is out that he has bone spurs in both ankles, so he’s likely going to have question marks surrounding him all year long. Proceed with caution, but selling could be a plausible option if someone is willing to take him. If he’s playing you almost have to use him and just hope for the best.
Mike Bell – New Orleans Saints
He’s been ruled out thanks to knee problems. With Pierre Thomas reemerging last week, he now becomes a great play for the upcoming week in all formats. Bell’s injury is poorly timed and if Thomas can have another strong game, he could be left fairly useless moving forward.
Felix Jones – Dallas Cowboys
He’s out with a knee injury and while Marion Barber is listed as probable, Tashard Choice is likely to see an increased role in the offense this week. As a FLEX option, he should be a strong play.
Marc Bulger – St. Louis Rams
While he’s listed as questionable, it’s likely that even if he suits up it will be a back-up to Kyle Boller. Leave him on your bench in all formats.
Frank Gore – San Francisco 49ers
This one is well publicized, as Gore is out leaving Glenn Coffee to start and see the lion’s share of the work. That makes Coffee a must play in all formats.
What are your thoughts? Which injury will have the biggest effect? Which player have you tried to grab?
This article is also featured on www.rotoprofessor.com/football
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Published: October 2, 2009
With three weeks in the books, we are starting to see some distinctive trends as to who is being targeted by their quarterbacks and who is not. Let’s take a look at some of the major storylines coming out of last weekend’s games and what conclusions we can draw from them:
Steven Jackson led the Rams being targeted 8 times
It speaks volumes about the Rams passing game with Laurent Robinson injured, doesn’t it? Donnie Avery was second on the team with seven and could emerge as the go to guy on the outside, but the truth of the matter is that Steven Jackson is the team’s entire offense at this point. He’s the only Ram worth having in your starting line-up.
Terrell Owens was targeted 5 times
That put him fourth on the team and led to no catches. He’s not going to stay quiet long, is he? I’d expect him to almost force Trent Edwards to throw him the ball in the coming weeks, meaning he could be in store for some big games.
Ray Rice was targeted 7 times
It was second most on the team, behind just Derrick Mason (8). It goes to show that even if he isn’t getting all of the carries (he had 11 last week while Willis McGahee had 7), he’s going to be given a chance to contribute in the passing game as well. That certainly helps keep him valuable, despite McGahee getting the bulk of the scoring chances in the early going.
Vernon Davis was targeted 10 times
After being buried in the Mike Singleton’s doghouse last season, he clearly has emerged as a significant part of the 49ers offense. He also could be on the precipice of realizing all that potential we’ve heard about. He had 7 catches for 96 yards and 2 TD, giving him 14 catches on the young season. If he’s on the waiver wire and you are using anyone outside of the top few tight ends, he’s worth grabbing.
Randy Moss was targeted 16 times
Does it really surprise you? It was only a matter of time before he and Tom Brady got onto the same page.
Justin Gage was targeted 10 times
Despite it leading to just 4 catches for 47 yards, it is nice to see that he is one of the prime options for the Titans. It’s the second time in three weeks that he lead the Titans in targets, saying a lot on how he fits into the offense.
Brett Celek was targeted 9 times
Donovan McNabb can just stay away a little longer, right? With McNabb injured and Kevin Kolb manning the QB position, Celek has emerged with 16 catches, 208 yards and 1 TD in two games. Granted, he did have 6 catches and one TD in Week 1, but these last two weeks have been unbelievably productive.
Michael Sims-Walker was targeted 10 times
Welcome to a major role in the Jaguars offense Mr. Sims-Walker. He led the way (Torry Holt & Maurice Jones-Drew each had seven) and that is something that could continue. He’s a must own in all formats if he’s still sitting available for some reason.
Santana Moss was targeted 14 times
The talk of his downfall may have been slightly overblown, huh? He made the most of his opportunities, catching 10 passes for 178 yards and 1 TD. Obviously, he’s not going to continue at that type of pace each week but he has a lot more to offer then he showed in the early going.
No Bear receiver was targeted more than 6 times
Jay Cutler doesn’t have one elite option, therefore he’s likely going to continually spread the ball around. That means any option could have a big week at any time, or could have minimal impact, making it tough to count on any of them.
Mike Wallace was targeted 8 times
That led the way for the Steelers, but with Hines Ward, Santonio Holmes and Heath Miller in the mix, I wouldn’t expect his big day (7 catches for 102 yards) to come very often.
Eddie Royal was targeted 3 times
Not many looks and not many catches (1 reception for 4 yards). He certainly is feeling the absence of Jay Cutler in the first few weeks, catching just 6 passes for 42 yards. He should get a good rapport with Kyle Orton before long, so if someone is willing to sell him for pennies on the dollar, do not hesitate. He’s better than what he’s shown.
What are your thoughts? Which player who was targeted do you think is worth stashing? Who do you think is going to continue to be ignored?
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