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NFL Football Players Draft Injuries Rookies Season SuperbowlPublished: July 18, 2009
(Above: Regardless of opinions, he’ll always be a Packer.)
I just watched a Brett Favre montage this morning, and something dawned on me.
The media and NFL fans are hating on Favre way too much.
But then I realized something else. It’s not necessarily what we think about him now that matters.
What is important, is that we don’t forget everything he’s done.
Yes, he’s playing with our emotions, stepping on the fine line that is betrayal, and testing our patience.
But to a certain degree, he should be able to.
For a man that gave every part of his body to the game, he deserves a little more love and respect than a one-year turn around of “I hate Favre” discussion.
Not feeling the love?
Think back a bit, before the retirement drama, the New York Jets, or even the Aaron Rodgers selection.
To be a fan of Favre and the Green Bay Packers was bliss.
Here’s some stats (as a Packer) to swallow down before you write No. 4 off for good:
Those numbers are impressive enough to humble any scorned fan.
Now, written words and numbers may not completely melt your heart and turn you back into a fan of Favre again, but some video clips of some of his finer moments might.
Don’t think of the Jets or the possibilities with the Vikings when you think of Favre.
Think of the records he broke, the games he won, and the interceptions that had you pulling out your hair.
Because if you could put yourself back in that time and do it all over again, you know you wouldn’t want it any other way.
Remember when Dan Marino’s career touchdown record against the Vikings?
This was the moment in that 2007 season that you knew it was going to be special. After Favre broke Marino’s record, it was smooth sailing, as he ended the season with over 4,000 yards and 28 touchdowns, as Green Bay earned a playoff bye with a 13-3 record.
Stop filling your heart and mind with hate, and realize two things: Brett Favre is human, and he was a Green Bay Packer for 16 seasons.
Don’t those 16 years out-weigh the last two?
I think so. But I’ll let this do the rest of my convincing.
True, this “Ode to Favre” was before his two retirements, but if you’re a true Packer, Brett Favre, and football fan, it just shouldn’t matter.
Published: July 18, 2009
(Above: Regardless of opinions, he’ll always be a Packer.)
I just watched a Brett Favre montage this morning, and something dawned on me.
The media and NFL fans are hating on Favre way too much.
But then I realized something else. It’s not necessarily what we think about him now that matters.
What is important, is that we don’t forget everything he’s done.
Yes, he’s playing with our emotions, stepping on the fine line that is betrayal, and testing our patience.
But to a certain degree, he should be able to.
For a man that gave every part of his body to the game, he deserves a little more love and respect than a one-year turn around of “I hate Favre” discussion.
Not feeling the love?
Think back a bit, before the retirement drama, the New York Jets, or even the Aaron Rodgers selection.
To be a fan of Favre and the Green Bay Packers was bliss.
Here’s some stats (as a Packer) to swallow down before you write No. 4 off for good:
Those numbers are impressive enough to humble any scorned fan.
Now, written words and numbers may not completely melt your heart and turn you back into a fan of Favre again, but some video clips of some of his finer moments might.
Don’t think of the Jets or the possibilities with the Vikings when you think of Favre.
Think of the records he broke, the games he won, and the interceptions that had you pulling out your hair.
Because if you could put yourself back in that time and do it all over again, you know you wouldn’t want it any other way.
Remember when Dan Marino’s career touchdown record against the Vikings?
This was the moment in that 2007 season that you knew it was going to be special. After Favre broke Marino’s record, it was smooth sailing, as he ended the season with over 4,000 yards and 28 touchdowns, as Green Bay earned a playoff bye with a 13-3 record.
Stop filling your heart and mind with hate, and realize two things: Brett Favre is human, and he was a Green Bay Packer for 16 seasons.
Don’t those 16 years out-weigh the last two?
I think so. But I’ll let this do the rest of my convincing.
True, this “Ode to Favre” was before his two retirements, but if you’re a true Packer, Brett Favre, and football fan, it just shouldn’t matter.
Published: July 17, 2009
There won’t be a Matt Ryan or Joe Flacco this year.
Mark Sanchez could see his team get the playoffs, but it will undoubtedly not be because he throws for 3,000 yards and 20+ touchdowns.
There’s not going to be an Adrian Peterson, or a slew of Chris Johnson’s, Steve Slaton’s, and Matt Forte’s.
Realistically, there are only two rookie running backs worth drafting in the top five rounds.
That might even be a reach.
Wide Receivers are no different.
There are a few with a solid chance at starting, and a few more with duties in the slot almost guaranteed.
But superstars? Not even Michael Crabtree.
If you must take a chance, or are investing for a dynasty or keeper league, here’s the top five guys that could pan out, just as you’d hoped.
Honorable Mentions: Donald Brown, Shonne Green, LeSean McCoy, Kenny Britt, Percy Harvin
5.Michael Crabtree, WR, San Francisco 49ers
Regardless of what some biased scouts said about him, the guy can flat-out play.
He has the hands, smarts, and body control of a dominant NFL wide receiver, and that’s exactly what he’ll be-some day.
Crabtree is still behind Isaac Bruce, Josh Morgan, and probably even Jason Hill.
Due to missed practices and the depth ahead of him, Crabtree is in danger of starting his rookie year as the fourth option.
He’s still been going high (eighth) round, so you may have to fight for him.
But I suggest you let someone else take that chance.
4. Brian Robiskie, WR, Cleveland Browns
If there’s any receiver who is a shoe-in to start, it’s Robiskie.
He has exceptional hands and body control, and reportedly runs routes and handles coverage like a veteran.
He may not have blazing speed, but Robiskie is vastly underrated, and projects to snag the number two spot before the season starts.
Robiskie would make for a nice steal in rounds 8 to 10.
3. Knownshon Moreno, RB, Denver Broncos
He could very well end up being the best player on this list (this year, and beyond), but his offensive system and depth at his position really don’t suggest so.
Head Coach Josh McDaniels runs 3-4 backs at all times, and prefers the pass over the run. If Kyle Orton does well, they’ll stick to that plan, which could have Moreno falling short of 1,000 yards, despite being “the starter.”
2. Jeremy Maclin, WR, Philadelphia Eagles
There’s simply too much talent ahead of him for him to start right away.
Kevin Curtis has paid his dues and is still effective, while it’s unrealistic to think the electric DeSean Jackson will take a back seat to the rookie.
Maclin’s talent is off the charts, though, with excellent size, speed, and hands.
He won’t start the season as Philly’s go-to receiver, but he’s likely to send Curtis to slot duties, eventually.
1. Chris “Beanie” Wells, RB, Arizona Cardinals
Don’t buy the hype.
Tim Hightower is a failed experiment, and Arizona spent a first rounder on Wells for a good reason: to start him.
He may be eased into the role, but there’s no reason to have him sit behind the ineffective Hightower.
Hightower has a slight advantage in the passing game, but not great enough to keep Wells grounded.
The Cardinals aim to have a more balanced attack, and if Wells can help make that successful, he could post the best numbers of all the rookies.
Published: July 9, 2009
Let’s be honest. Brett Favre signing with the Vikings is as good as done.
It won’t be huge news. Well, not as big as it might have been had he kept the rumors quiet through all this time, but in recent weeks, despite “thinking” we knew he’d come back, we’ve begun to get concrete information that suggests he will sign sometime this month.
Then again, there’s that report swirling around that he may already be under contract with Minnesota.
In case you’ve been sleeping in a cave, here’s a quick look at what you need to know in regards to The Brett Favre Saga:
* Dr. James Andrews, the guy that performed the surgery on Brett’s arm, says that in conversations with Favre, he found out Favre did indeed want to continue playing, planned on it, and said that the Vikings were his only suitor.
* Andrews then reported that the arm was holding up well and that Favre should make a full recovery.
* A report surfaced a few days ago that Favre and his wife Deanna had placed a $30,000 down payment on a condo in Minnesota, furthering speculation that a contract was either already in line or an announcement would soon be made.
* Eric Sugarman, a Minnesota trainer, made his second trip to Hattiesburg, Mississippi, to meet with Favre and check in on his progress. Favre’s arm is reportedly 100 percent, and all signs point to a “go.”
* The last bit of information is the most interesting: Reports have the Minnesota Vikings designing 40 percent of their plays in their playbook specifically for Favre. Talk about sweetening the deal.
Now, for all those Favre haters, Packers lovers—this includes me—or just regular NFL fans, it’s becoming quite clear that what they feared/hoped for the most is almost certainly about to happen.
Brett Favre is poised to actually don the purple and yellow, and there’s not much we can do about it.
Just sit back, relax, and enjoy the ride.
As I’ve said before in other Favre-related articles, the guy is 40 years old and won’t be around forever. Whether you like it or not, it’s impossible to provide a completely logical argument for him to not return.
When he was healthy last season, he had 20 touchdowns, was leading the Jets past winning clubs, and owned an 8-3 record.
Now that he’s healthy again and supported by a stellar cast, he could easily regain his 2007 form.
That, or he’ll slip up in his own prima donna image and never recover.
Just cherish these moments and these days leading up to his signing.
When it happens, remember it as something glorious:
Brett Favre came back again, despite constant criticism, simply because he wanted to play football, or maybe to spite Ted Thompson. Perhaps it was a bit of both.
At this point, it doesn’t matter anymore. People are going to believe what they want to believe, but regardless of their opinion, one thing is not up for argument.
Favre has made an impact on the league that will last a lifetime, and for years beyond our children’s lifetimes.
Favre still makes the game great and worth watching.
That’s why, despite every tiny tidbit of Favre news being minuscule and sometimes pointless, it’s such a big deal.
Published: July 9, 2009
No matter how much people pigeon-hole him into the cliche’ “lead-blocking” role, Brian Leonard is always going to wake up in the morning the same way: as a running back.
The fact is, he isn’t slow. He does have moves, and he is agile.
Several sites across the web (count them-it’s probably 100%) say he’s not worth “hand-cuffing” to Cedric Benson in fantasy football.
They say he’s a waste of time as a running back, simply in general.
He’s just another white guy trying to tote the ball, when he should wise up and just block, already.
I’m sorry, but I’m not sorry. I am merely not convinced.
I’m not convinced that Cedric Benson is the answer for Cincinnati. Moreover, I’m not convinced that Brian Leonard isn’t.
I am convinced, however, that he can be “the guy” in the Bengals backfield, and that he has all the necessary tools to be an effective, and damn me if I’m wrong, a star running back.
But let’s not get carried away (pun intended). It’s not even preseason. Benson hasn’t gotten hurt yet, fumbled away the starting job, or broken the law.
Ah, but there’s time.
However, with recent reports suggesting that Leonard is, in fact, Benson’s top back-up heading into the training camps at the end of the month, there is reason for speculation, and yes, even hope.
Leonard has little experience as a starter in the NFL, but he does have one 100-yard effort to his name.
Hell, he hasn’t even scored a touchdown, yet.
But, if you’re a giddy, college-to-pro football fan like me and half of the rest of the world, you’re holding out hope (there’s that word again) that we get to see a couple more of those famous “Leonard Leap’s“.
In St. Louis, Leonard was used sparingly in his rookie season, up until he got is first crack at starting when Steven Jackson went down with an injury.
Leonard responded with a solid 102-yard effort, only to crash into a wall in the form of a formidable Baltimore Ravens rush defense the next week.
Ever since then, Leonard battled shoulder injuries, and quite frankly, was never the same.
But to be even more honest, he wasn’t given much of an opportunity, either.
He was demoted to fullback, and saw Antonio Pittman step in and take on the load, despite Jackson still missing time.
Antonio Pittman. Really?
Regardless of your opinion of the Rams, Leonard, or even Pittman, that’s all in the past now.
Now it’s all about the future.
Leonard apparently has the go-ahead for third-down back duties, and probably will split goal-line and short yardage carries with Benson, while giving way to the regular carries to the former Bear.
His only main competition is a 30+ year old Kenny Watson, and a small-school back; Bernard Scott.
While both of these backs have talent, Leonard is arguably the most versatile, as he’s a stellar blocker, exceptional receiver, and is actually a pretty darn good running back, too.
If you’re looking for help in the fantasy realm, take a flier on Leonard late in your draft in deep leagues. He just might be worth it.
And if you’re looking for someone to cheer for in this little place we like to call “real life”, Leonard’s your man.
Because, come on. The guy jumps over people.
Published: July 7, 2009
(Left: Can Kenny Britt help open up Tennessee’s passing game?)
It’s always nice to find gems in the late rounds, but somehow a little nicer when they are first year players.
Last year, when I wrote a Top Ten Rookie Report, I made a list in week one that featured Eddie Royal and DeSean Jackson.
Both receivers went on to top 900 receiving yards, and were huge parts in their team’s offensive success throughout the season.
While it’s common knowledge that it usually takes a year or two (sometimes more) for a receiver to adjust to the NFL, there are always a few receivers who put up good enough numbers to be relevant in fantasy football.
And it’s my job to find them.
Here’s a look at the ten guys with the best combination of talent, environment, and NFL-readiness.
Published: July 7, 2009
Whether you’re a Jacksonville fan or an eager fantasy owner anticipating your first round move for your draft, Maurice Jones-Drew and his immediate future are in your sights.
At least, it should be.
Considering all the amazing things he’s done in his short career, all while splitting carries with the Jaguar legend Fred Taylor, it’s almost jaw-dropping.
Just look at his first year in the league. He paired with Taylor to form one of the league’s best rush attacks, as he fell less than 60 yards short of 1,000 rushing yards, and also dropped in 13 rushing touchdowns.
Not bad for a rookie.
Oh, and then there was that bone-crunching block he delivered on the huge Shawn Merriman. You know, this hit.
Needless to say, MJD launched himself into the NFL as a star. He was easily a household name in Florida, while putting up good numbers and enough highlight reel plays, that he was probably already well known throughout the states.
This just in: Jones-Drew is good; really good. And in 2009, he’ll have the backfield all to himself.
Good-bye Fred Taylor. Hello rushing title?
The truth is, last season, despite seeing MJD cross the goal line 12 times, the Jacksonville ground game suffered.
The offensive line was terrible with constantly nicked up blockers, as several starters were lost for a slew of games, and some for the season.
Despite shady blocking for both the rush and pass, MJD put up over 800 rush yards, the previously mentioned 12 scores, and a respectable 4.0 yards per carry.
The line has been restored—on paper, at least.
David Garrard should be more comfortable, both with his new receivers (Torry Holt, and two rookies) and his growing connection with tight end, Mercedes Lewis.
The best part, though, is that the leash is being taken off, and the real MJD will finally be released.
For the past three years, the Jaguars have had too much depth at running back (didn’t know that existed), and Jones-Drew was being held back.
And in a big way, we all were being held back from greatness.
This is Jones-Drew’s time, both as a fantasy weapon for your team, and as an icon for the league.
He has the strength and drive to run inside. If he can blow up a guy like Merriman on that play at the goal line, he can handle just about anyone inside.
He has the speed, quickness, and overall athleticism needed to succeed in the NFL, and is regarded as one of the top running backs in terms of physical shape.
He is a specimen worth taking notes on.
But these are things you already know. All you need to do is hit up NFL.com, rotoworld.com, or Yahoo.com to find MJD’s stats.
Just read interviews with his teammates to hear how confident they are in his abilities as the feature back. Even ask the departed Fred Taylor.
There isn’t a general “feeling” that this guy is as good as advertised. It’s common knowledge.
So, the next time someone balks at you selecting him third on a long list of deserving running backs, don’t feel so bad.
The next time someone gives you a hard time for ranking him over everyone else but Adrian Peterson, just laugh it off.
Because even if the numbers don’t prove your point, 2009 will.
MJD is just too good to not become one of the elite running backs this season. And mostly, it’s because he already is one.
Published: July 7, 2009
(Left: The face of the UFL?)
J.P. Losman may not be the guy holding the UFL’s head above water, but he’s the poster boy for what the new league is attempting to accomplish.
This league is all about bringing an NFL-like game to cities that don’t get the luxury of having an NFL near them.
The UFL is also about gathering the best talent that the NFL looks over, and putting it on a stage where player can showcase their skills.
This slide show is the first of four, analyzing the teams’ “stars”.
Who will help make the UFL exciting, who will prove they were always a bust, and who will take their first step toward getting back to the NFL?
Michael Vick, anyone?
Published: July 7, 2009
(Above: Some are selecting MJD number one, overall.)
As with the receivers and quarterbacks, this list is here to split up the A’s from the B’s, and let you know where to draft guys, roughly.
Okay, so Adrian Peterson is your running back with the first pick. That was easy. Hell, Yahoo suggested it, right?
But now what?
The second round rolls around, and now you don’t know who is the better pick—Marion Barber or Brandon Jacobs.
Read on to find out.
Tier One (Rounds One and Two)
1. Adrian Peterson—Minnesota Vikings
AP, All-Day, whatever.
Call him anything you’d like, so long as you’re still calling him the best back in the game.
Through several mocks, I continue to see Turner being selected over Peterson far too many times. It’s a trend, folks. Don’t follow it.
2. Michael Turner—Atlanta Falcons
Turner was a beast last year, rushing for nearly 1,700 yards, while racking up 17 touchdowns.
With the addition of Tony Gonzalez and the maturity of Matt Ryan, Atlanta is likely to make their offense a little more balanced, which will undoubtedly shrink those numbers.
Turner should still churn out 1,400 yards and 10 scores, but he’s not a better option than Adrian Peterson.
3. Maurice Jones-Drew—Jacksonville Jaguars
With Fred Taylor in New England, Jones-Drew finally has the backfield to himself.
However, if that offensive line isn’t leaps and bounds better than it was last year, I’m not sure that’s something Jones-Drew will be too happy about.
Still, the Jaguars know how to run the ball, and with the right places supposedly in place, MJD could be in for a huge season as the feature back.
4. Steven Jackson—St. Louis Rams
Usually, Jackson would find himself as the third-rated back, and maybe even the first two years ago. However, he’s barely been able to crack 1,000 yards the past two years, and he still plays for the Rams.
He is what makes that offense go, though, so he’s easily a top-five fantasy back.
5. Frank Gore—San Francisco 49ers
Gore has put together two straight “down years” of 1,000-yards rushing, and arguably so, simply because of his remarkable talent.
The 49ers are once again determined to run the ball, and if the offense around him can develop some consistency, he could get back to his 2006 numbers.
Gore is too talented to put up mediocre stats for three straight seasons.
6. Brian Westbrook—Philadelphia Eagles
Westbrook’s untimely injury/surgery opens the door for rookie LeSean McCoy. Good, let your fantasy opponents worry about it. As for you, just draft the guy with the knowledge that when he plays (and he will), he’s pretty much the Eagles entire offense.
He’s not old and decrepit, like many experts would lead you to believe. He can still get you that elusive championship.
7. Ladainian Tomlinson—San Diego Chargers
Tomlinson’s toe is supposedly good to go, but let’s not forget, the guy is still going to be 30 at the end of June.
That doesn’t mean he can’t still be productive. In fact, with an ailing foot for most of last season, he still cracked 1,100 yards and 10 scores.
That was his version of a “down” year. I like that.
8. Matt Forte—Chicago Bears
Everyone is hyping up Matt Forte as this glorious “do-it-all” back, but they’re failing to realize a key element.
Now that Jay Cutler has arrived, this stagnant pass attack that Chicago was accustomed to just got some meat to it.
The Bears won’t be turning into gunslingers, not by any means, but to expect Forte to post Adrian Peterson or Michael Turner numbers is simply obscene.
9. DeAngelo Williams—Carolina Panthers
You can’t rate last season’s rushing touchdown leader outside of the top 10, can you? I don’t think so, either.
However, I don’t see Williams duplicating both the amount of yardage he has last year, nor the 18 scores.
Jonathan Stewart continues to impress, and should vie for more carries. I’d guess both backs crack 1,000 yards before suggesting Williams repeats his 2008 numbers.
10. Steve Slaton—Houston Texans
Slaton is a dual threat who should only improve with a stellar offense surrounding him. Pay no attention to a “lessened workload” rumor.
The Texans will do everything they can to keep Slaton involved in the games, ensuring a balanced attack.
Exceeding his rookie numbers of 1,600 total yards and 10 total touchdowns is very possible.
11. Clinton Portis—Washington Redskins
As long as Portis can stay healthy, he’s a RB1, and a great asset to any fantasy team.
Considering the Redskins are still knee-deep in the Jason Campbell experiment, Portis should see plenty of touches, as well as some receptions out of the backfield.
Don’t worry about this talk about Ladell Betts “looking great” in OTA’s. Everyone says that. Portis is their guy. Draft him with confidence.
12. Chris Johnson—Tennessee Titans
Johnson’s situation may work out a lot like Williams’ (above), but in the opposite way. He is clearly the future for Tennessee at running back, so his overall touches should only increase, and I wouldn’t be shocked if Jeff Fisher gave him some of Lendale White’s goal-line attempts.
Johnson has the physical running style to run into massive linemen, but has the speed and agility to bounce outside, as well.
If he can keep improving as a receiver, he could be even more dangerous.
13. Marion Barber—Dallas Cowboys
Barber’s value ultimately hangs on what happens with the Dallas offense. How much will Felix Jones and Tashard Choice be used, and when? Reports are leaning more towards Barber and Jones being on the field together much of the time, which could be either good or bad for Barber’s value.
I still feel that Marion Barber hasn’t played his best football, and if everything goes according to plan, he could be looking at 1,300 yards and 12 scores.
It should be noted that nothing ever goes according to plan.
14. Brandon Jacobs—New York Giants
Just to help with the usual wear and tear Jacobs endures through the season, the Giants will continue to give him breathers with Ahmad Bradshaw.
Considering Jacobs has missed eight games in the past two years, that’s probably a good move.
Still, that flaw in Jacobs’ game is almost a strong suit, because it reveals his production in limited action.
In 25 games with New York as the starter, Jacobs has more than 2,100 rushing yards, and 19 touchdowns.
The only question is, do you get 2007’s four-touchdown Jacobs, or the paydirt machine (15 TD) from last season?
Tier Two (Rounds Three through Five)
15. Marshawn Lynch—Buffalo Bills
Lynch has shown glimpses of being a truly exceptional back, while having games where he’s practically invisible as an offensive presence.
Since he won’t be playing with Buffalo for the first three games, his stock obviously drops a bit. If you can take missing one of your stud running backs for the first three game (I hope you can), then he’d be a good steal if you can get him past the third round.
16. Willie Parker- Pittsburgh Steelers
Does anyone remember how awesome this guy was in the first two weeks of the season?
Parker isn’t even 30 and it seems everyone wants to push him out, despite still performing at a high level.
As long as he gets the majority of the touches, Parker is a premier back, and a return to his 2006 numbers wouldn’t be out of the question.
17. Reggie Bush–New Orleans Saints
We get it. Reggie Bush isn’t a feature back. He can’t run well inside the tackles. He’ll never reach his full potential.
Whatever.
That doesn’t matter. Bush is a fantasy god.
When healthy, he can dominate for you in three ways, as he’s used for about 10 carries as a runner, fields at least five catches a game, and also returns punts.
Bush has fielded at last 800-plus combined yards and six scores in every season he’s been in the league, while amassing more than 1,000 combined yards in his first two seasons.
The downside is he has missed 10 games in the past two years, so his knee has become a cause for concern.
But since recent mocks have him falling all the way to round five or six, he’s worth the risk.
18. Lendale White—Tennessee Titans
White will continue to battle Chris Johnson for carries, while his touchdowns should drop a bit.
He’ll still be their third-down and goal-line back, but the Titans are all about Chris Johnson.
If Johnson can improve his inside running, he could soon render White obsolete.
19. Joseph Addai—Indianapolis Colts
Don’t believe the Donald Brown or the rumors that the Colts ownership is down on Addai.
He’s still the best running back on the team, and there’s no way Indy is dumping him after one poor season.
His two seasons before 2008 beg of you to make him a third-round pick.
20. Thomas Jones—New York Jets
Will he be as effective without a quality quarterback? It doesn’t look good.
He had more than 1,000 yards while playing behind Chad Pennington and Kellen Clemens in 2007, but only managed one rushing touchdown.
With Favre on board, he ran for 13.
Jones is getting older, too, and will likely lose more carries to both Leon Washington and Shonne Green.
21. Ronnie Brown—Miami Dolphins
When healthy, Brown is at times a fantasy stud, and his value is worth that of a high RB1.
However, with last year’s Wildcat formation fully installed, Brown doesn’t control the carries, and has to share with Ricky Williams and others.
Still, 1,200 combined yards and 10 touchdowns say he’s worth a mid-rounder.
22. Ryan Grant—Green Bay Packers
Grants’ yards per carry were way down last year, and many wondered if it was the poor line play, or him not being as good as everyone thought he was.
His four touchdowns may not entice you, but his carries and yardage will. With 312 carries and more than 1,200 yards, it’s clear that Green Bay runs the ball, and will continue to make that a focal point of their offense.
Even if Grant isn’t as successful as he was in 2007, he’s still going to be touching the ball more than 300 times.
23. Larry Johnson—Kansas City Chiefs
Any contract disputes are gone, at least for now, and Johnson and the Chiefs appear to be on the same page.
Johnson was actually having a terrific start to the season, but with a team suspension and attitude problems, he went on to miss four games.
His 800-plus yards and five touchdowns are a solid output, considering his time off the field.
Johnson could easily emerge as a 1,500-yard rusher, while operating behind an improved pass attack.
Tier Three (Rounds Six through Eight)
24. Knowshon Moreno—Denver Broncos
Moreno is great, don’t get me wrong. But he’s a rookie, and he’s playing in a New England system.
Josh McDaniels isn’t going to run Moreno to death in his first season-you can count on that. The plan is to use three or four backs, divide the touches, and keep the runners legs’ fresh.
Moreno could easily have a huge rookie season, based on his talent alone, but it may not be as explosive as many feel.
25. Kevin Smith—Detroit Lions
Smith and the rest of Detroit would like to forget their 0-16 2008 season. I say don’t. At least not where Kevin Smith comes into play.
With more than 1,100 total yards and nine scores, Smith churned out a solid season, overall.
If the passing game and pick up the slack a bit, and the new O-line additions can help, Smith could shoot for 1,200 yards and some more scores.
He’s talented enough to be a feature back. He just needs better blocking ahead of him.
26. Derrick Ward—Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Ward put up 1,000 yards as a backup in New York, and jetted to Tampa Bay to cash in and secure a starting job.
He’s down here at 26 because he’s going to be 29, and he’s only had one good season.
Still, it’s hard to ignore that gaudy 5.6 yards per carry.
27. Pierre Thomas—New Orleans Saints
The big question is, will he get the bulk of the carries?
That all depends on Reggie Bush, really. But with more than 600 yards, a 4.8 yards-per-carry average, and nine touchdowns last season, it’s clear that Thomas is ready.
A split in carries is likely, but if Bush isn’t red-hot, the Saints could go to Thomas more.
28. Felix Jones- Dallas Cowboys
There are rumors that Jones will be sharing the backfield with Marion Barber, and even if they aren’t true, you still should draft him.
Jones is an electric player that can take it the distance any time, and would have been on more highlight reels last year, had he not bowed out to injury.
His value is in the middle rounds right now, but that could change very quickly.
Tier Four (Mid-to-Late Rounds)
29. Cedric Benson—Cincinnati Bengals
Which Cedric Benson do you trust: The one who was a bust, or the guy who tore it up in the final three weeks of 2008?
Considering he’s on the Bengals, had done nothing until the final three weeks, and is Cedric Benson, I’m leaning far away from him repeating the 2008 production.
If you get Benson, I suggest tag-teaming him with Brian Leonard.
30. Darren McFadden—Oakland Raiders
McFadden is one again a boom-or-bust pick, as he’s clearly in a muddled RBBC, yet also has the most talent of any rusher on his team.
If Oakland were smart, they’d trade Justin Fargas, and/or Michael Bush, and let their best running back start.
McFadden should be used even more as a receiver out of the backfield, and while he may not lead the team in carries, his touches should increase.
31. Leon Washington—New York Jets
With Thomas Jones and age, Washington is likely to be integrated more and more in the offense.
As always, if your league rewards points for return yards and scores, Washington is a great asset, and provides you with a dual threat at the running back spot.
Washington is also a deadly man in the open field after the catch, and whoever is the staring quarterback for New York will likely dump-off to him often.
32. Chris “Beanie” Wells—Arizona Cardinals
Tim Hightower was a fifth round pick, showed some flashes, and then disappeared.
Chris Wells is the first rounder that just cost Hightower his chance at starting.
Wells has a tough running style blended with rare speed for a man his size. His only main knock is playing through injuries, which is widely overblown.
It may take some time, but Wells will eventually be starting for Arizona in 2009.
33. Darren Sproles—San Diego Chargers
Tomlinson is still the man, but the Chargers didn’t franchise Sproles for nothing. He will see more action as a receiver out of the backfield, and will be used more as a change-of-pace back.
Like Leon Washington, Sproles is a deadly weapon on returns, so feel free to draft him extra early if your league rewards return points.
34. Jonathan Stewart—Carolina Panthers
Stewart is guaranteed at least as many carries as he had in 2008, and he’ll probably get even more.
While DeAngelo Williams was the yardage and touchdown fiend last year, you can look for the yards to be a bit more evened out, while Stewart gets the first crack on goal-line carries.
Williams is a stud in his own right, but Stewart could put up better numbers if given more carries.
35. Le’Ron McClain—Baltimore Ravens
McClain is expected to take on more of a lead-blocking role, which should significantly reduce his carries.
He is expected to stay on goal-line duty for the most part, however, and should be called upon in most short-yardage situations.
McClain still has value, providing he is being used ahead of Willis McGahee.
36. Julius Jones—Seattle Seahawks
Jones may not look like much at times, but he’s the best back on Seattle’s team, and he’s starting.
He has decent speed and deceptive quickness, and still has the talent to be a solid back in the NFL.
Draft him as a low-end RB2, or as a quality backup.
37. Chester Taylor- Minnesota Vikings
Anyone who can put up almost 800 yards as Adrian Pererson’s backup definitely warrants some notice.
Taylor may not be a starter, but his production is way too good to be drafted below the likes of other backups, such as Ray Rice, or Rashard Mendenhall.
If AP went down, Taylor would easily be a top-10 back.
38. Jamal Lewis—Cleveland Browns
Lewis is still sludging around with his feet seemingly in mud, but he’s still the starter, and he gets the job done.
At least, fantasy-wise.
As long as Lewis is getting more than 250 carries, he has value.
39. Ray Rice—Baltimore Ravens
Much like McCain, Rice is walking into a RBBC situation, and despite constant praise from coaches, he may not get the touches his selection would suggest.
Rice is being taken much too early in recent mocks, despite the fact that he’s not even the full-fledged starter.
If you can find him in the late rounds, bite. Just don’t burn a fifth-rounder on him.
40. Rashard Mendenhall—Pittsburgh Steelers
As far as I’m concerned, Mendenhall is just Willie Parker’s backup, and he’s an extra talented body at the position.
There is no need to split the carries when Parker is healthy, as he’s still the best rusher on his team.
Mendenhall is a fantastic pick for dynasty leagues, and is a good insurance picks if you are a Parker owner.
41. Willis McGahee—Baltimore Ravens
McGahee’s value isn’t much more than a handcuff to either Ray Rice or La’Ron McClain at this point.
He is still a good running back, but it seems the wear of the NFL has begun to chip away at his knees.
Have we seen the end of McGahee as an NFL starter?
42. Jerious Norwood—Atlanta Falcons
If the Falcons want to keep being successful, they’ll need to pass more, and run the ball less with Michael Turner.
They need more balance, both from the passing game, and the energy/health of their rush attack.
Norwood is an explosive option that can light up the field by running, catching, or returning kicks.
He should hover around 100 carries for the fourth straight year.
43. LeSean McCoy—Philadelphia Eagles
McCoy’s value rests solely on Brian Westbrook’s health. If Westbrook can play, McCoy will probably be used very little, or just late in blow-outs.
The other obstacle is the complexity of the Eagles offense. Even if Westbrook was out for the start of the season, it’s not a guarantee McCoy would be the starter. Likely, yes—but not a guarantee.
Still, considering Westbrook’s age, a recurrence of this injury or another injury is likely, so grabbing McCoy as insurance is recommended.
44. T.J. Duckett—Seattle Seahawks
Duckett is good for nothing but touchdowns.
He is still Seattle’s short yardage and goal-line king, so he does have some value.
45. Donald Brown—Indianapolis Colts
Contrary to popular belief, Brown will not be stealing Addai’s job away.
Brown is a great prospect with tons of talent, but unless Addai is hurt, his value isn’t very high.
46. Ladell Betts—Washington Redskins
Despite the off-season rumors that Betts was “looking great” and could stand to get “more carries”, I wouldn’t buy too much into it.
He’s a good, powerful back, but the Redskins like to keep Clinton Portis on the field.
And if Jim Zorn’s slow-to-learn offense is going to progress, that’s the way it will be.
47. Brandon Jackson—Green Bay Packers
Jackson has been used more and more in Green Bay’s offense, but a possible resurgence by Ryan Grant could render Jackson useless.
DeShawn Wynn could also steal some of Jackson’s carries.
Still, if Grant suffers and injury or gets off to another slow start like last year, Jackson could be a nice stash-away steal.
48. Fred Taylor—New England Patriots
The Patriots are likely to use 3-4 running backs in their ground attack; this is true. But they didn’t bring in a big-name back like Taylor for no reason.
They now have a little more fire power at the position, and they’ll use Taylor to the best of his and their abilities.
Anywhere from 600-800 yards is likely, while 1,000 isn’t unrealistic.
49. Ahmad Bradshaw- New York Giants
Bradshaw will continue to serve as a backup to Brandon Jacobs, but with Derrick Ward out of the picture, he should see a significant increase in his carries.
As a change-of-pace back, Bradshaw could still put up solid enough numbers for some spot starts, and could even hold strong value as a starter if Jacobs went down.
50. Jamaal Charles—Kansas City Chiefs
With Larry Johnson’s checkered past with Kansas City, it’d be wise to keep tabs on both Jamaal Charles and Kolby Smith.
With Smith still rehabbing an injury, however, Charles appears primed to take over the top back-up spot, and should be in for 100-plus carries. An injury to Johnson would make Charles a solid feature back.
Published: July 7, 2009
In several mock drafts, Larry Fitzgerald, Randy Moss, and Andre Johnson have taken turns being the first receiver off the board. All three have found themselves drafted in the first round on at least a few occasions.
But those are easy calls.
It’s difficult to assess talent and environment. After the first tier of receivers, there seems to be a huge drop-off.
That’s where the casual fantasy player gets lost. The truth is that there is production all the way to the last guy on this list. The main problem is weeding out the “talents” that are the most likely to have a bad season, and knowing each player’s status with their team.
Be sure to track position battles, injuries, and any trades that could affect that players you intend on drafting. And if you don’t know where to draft them, just keep reading.
Tier One (Rounds 1-4)
1. Larry Fitzgerald—Arizona Cardinals
With Kurt Warner returning and an improved ground game, Fitzgerald should be able to pick-up where he left off in the Super Bowl. He has excellent size, hands, speed, and intangibles, making him the best all-around receiver in the game.
If that’s not enough to entice you, just look at the guy’s stats. He has recorded at least 1,400 yards and 10 scores in three of his last four seasons. No one else in the league has done that.
2. Randy Moss—New England Patriots
Moss put up good numbers with Matt Cassel behind center (1,000 yards and 11 scores). Just imagine what he’ll be capable of with Tom Brady back at the helm.
He may not break his 23-touchdown record, but he could certainly come close.
3. Andre Johnson—Houston Texans
Johnson showed he belongs in conversations about the NFL’s elite receivers last season as he topped 1,100 yards for the third time in his career.
Matt Schaub loves Johnson, and the chemistry is only going to get better. As long as both players stay healthy, you can expect Johnson to hover around his 2008 totals of 1,500 yards and eight touchdowns.
4. Calvin Johnson—Detroit Lions
The second year man put up over 1,300 yards and 12 scores for a team that didn’t win a single game last season.
With his 6’5” frame and excellent speed and ball skills, he’ll only continue to get better. His numbers could be affected, depending on how is the starting quarterback, but if he can excel with Dan Orlovsky, you really don’t have much to worry about.
5. Steve Smith—Carolina Panthers
Smith isn’t a touchdown machine, but he is easily one of the best receivers in the league. He put up over 1,400 yards last season for the second time in his career while also scoring six touchdowns.
He’s only topped eight scores once in his career, so he isn’t very valuable in pure scoring leagues. But in performance leagues, he’s a must-have.
6. Reggie Wayne—Indianapolis Colts
Wayne could normally be ahead of Smith and possibly even Calvin Johnson, based on his chemistry with Peyton Manning and consistent elite performances.
However, there is now cause for slight concern with Marvin Harrison gone, as well as the departures of Tony Dungy and Tom Moore.
You can still expect Wayne to crack 1,200 yards and close in on 10 scores, as he is now officially Manning’s go-to guy.
7. Greg Jennings—Green Bay Packers
Jennings has improved in every year with Green Bay, and after signing a big new contract, he will be comfortable and care-free in his fourth season.
With his big-play ability and reliable hands, Jennings is a safe bet to match 2008’s yardage total (1,292 yards), and could even get back to 2007’s 12 touchdowns.
As his chemistry with Aaron Rodgers continues to improve, so does his stock as a fantasy receiver.
8. Roddy White—Atlanta Falcons
Roddy White ridded of the one-year wonder label in 2008, as he put up over 1,382 yards, notching over 1,200 for the second straight year.
The addition of Tony Gonzalez may take some targets away, but with Matt Ryan’s comfort level increasing, his numbers are unlikely to dip.
9. Anquan Boldin—Arizona Cardinals
He wants to be traded, and then he doesn’t. Then he does, and then you hear about contract negotiations again. Boldin’s status with the team is enough to scare anyone away.
However, his production and toughness should wash away any worries.
Boldin may play second-fiddle to Larry Fitzgerald, but he’s vastly underrated. He has put up over 1,000 yards in four out of six seasons, and topped 10 scores for the first time in his career last season.
While he may not be a touchdown king, Boldin is definitely a safe fantasy choice for so long as he’s wearing red and white.
10. Brandon Marshall—Denver Broncos
Marshall—extremely productive and talented—is facing a season loaded with questions.
He lost his quarterback, is in a new system, is struggling with a hip injury, and reportedly wants to be traded.
Great. Where do you draft him?
With over 100 receptions, 1,000 yards, and at least six scores in back-to-back seasons, draft him like there isn’t a care in the world. But don’t draft him over any of the previous nine receivers.
11. Terrell Owens—Dallas Cowboys
Even at 36, Terrell Owens can still get behind the secondary, and he’s still a match-up nightmare. He may have lost some consistency, but he can still be dominant.
The only problem is, he’s in a new city, and he doesn’t have the usual Pro Bowl-level quarterback that he’s accustomed to.
The just is still out on Trent Edwards, but he should perform well enough to help Owens reach 1,000 yards and over 10 scores for the fourth straight year.
12. Wes Welker—New England Patriots
Welker may not be as explosive as the guys before him, and he’s definitely not a touchdown machine.
Certainly, he is a reception king though.
Welker fell just one catch short of his 112 reception total from the glorious 2007 season, despite not having Tom Brady around.
Expect his receptions to stay the same (or even rise), while a return to his 2007 touchdown total—eight—is more likely than a repeat of his three from last season.
Tier Two (Rounds 5-7)
13. Marques Colston—New Orleans Saints
Don’t get down on Colston because he was hurt last season. Before his untimely injury, Colston was shocking the NFL world by delivering two straight 1,000-yard seasons as well as two years with at least eight touchdowns.
All that as a seventh rounder out of Hofstra. Quite impressive.
And despite missing five games last year, he still put up nearly 800 yards and five touchdowns.
With Drew Brees and that offense, a healthy Colston could see a huge jump in production.
14. Dwayne Bowe—Kansas City Chiefs
One of the more underrated receivers in the league, Bowe can be had for a mid-round selection, and could end up out-producing your WR1.
Bowe has an inconsistent supporting cast and a new quarterback. But he is clearly a rising star. Nab him before he begins to fully shine.
15. T.J. Houshmandzadeh—Seattle Seahawks
Watch out for Houshmandzadeh. Seattle hasn’t had great luck with receivers lately, and the 32-year-old newly signed free agent is a prime candidate to be a bust.
While his production in Cincy’ the past few years, (five straight 900+ yard seasons) is more than solid, he has never been a true number one receiver. And he’s walking into a new situation.
He’s a fantastic possession receiver who can find the end-zone, but his lack of break-away speed could keep him from cracking 1,000 yards for the second straight year.
16. Lee Evans—Buffalo Bills
Will the presence of T.O. help or hurt Evans production? That’s the real question.
We know Evans has the ability to be a stud, but consistency and supporting cast have been his main downfalls.
If Owens can come in and take attention off of Evans, we could see a return to his 2006 numbers. However, this line of thinking isn’t just putting your faith in a less than trustworthy T.O. You’re banking on Trent Edwards becoming a fantasy stud, as well.
17. Donald Driver—Green Bay Packers
While Driver ruffled some feathers with contract qualms earlier in the off-season, talk of demands and money have fizzled down. At least for now.
Greg Jennings new contract could certainly heat the pot back up.
Still, even with slight contract issues and his age (34), Driver is still a candidate for 1,000 yards and 5+ scores in an increasingly wide receiver-friendly Green Bay offense.
18. Vincent Jackson—San Diego Chargers
Jackson finally broke out of the “sleeper” label in 2008, as he cracked 1,000 yards for the first time while also dropping in seven touchdowns.
With excellent size and body control, Jackson can stretch the field and can get open in the end-zone. As long as Philip Rivers can stay close to his 2008 form, Jackson should be able to do so as well.
19. Santonio Holmes—Pittsburgh Steelers
While Holmes was the hero of last year’s Super Bowl (or was it Ben Roethlisberger?), it’s important to note that he hasn’t quite lived up to the hype during the regular season.
At least, not in the fantasy realm.
Holmes has yet to crack 55 receptions or 1,000 yards in a season, and has only scored more than five touchdowns once.
He’s an exceptional talent, but with Pittsburgh’s system and with Hines Ward stealing looks, it’s unlikely to see a dramatic change.
20. Antonio Bryant—Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Bryant was an absolute stud last year as he put up over 1,200 yards and seven scores.
He was especially hot near the end of the season as he recorded over 100 yards receiving in three of his last four games—including a 200-yard, two-touchdown effort against Carolina in Week 14.
Without a quality quarterback to lean on, it will be difficult for Bryant to see that type of production again. However, as the go-to guy, he should still have a shot at 1,000 yards and five scores.
21. Hines Ward—Pittsburgh Steelers
Ward continues to live up to his “tough” label as he played through injuries in 2008, and recorded over 1,000 yards and seven touchdowns.
He’s 33 and probably losing speed as you read this, but he is still Ben Roethlisberger’s favorite target—he caught almost 30 more balls than the ultra-hyped Santonio Holmes did last year.
Ward is still a solid fantasy option, albeit an inconsistent one. Draft him as a serviceable WR2 and an elite WR3.
22. Lance Moore—New Orleans Saints
Moore stepped up after injuries hit New Orleans and reaped the benefits. Ten scores, almost 1,000 yards later, and he’s suddenly everyone’s favorite Saints’ receiver.
While he’ll undoubtedly take the back-seat to Marques Colston, he’s still guaranteed solid numbers in New Orleans’ potent pass attack.
23. Eddie Royal—Denver Broncos
Royal has been rumored as being “the new Wes Welker” in Josh McDaniel’s version of the Patriots offense.
It’s hard to argue against that logic as Royal has solid hands and incredible quickness. He caught 91 balls for over 900 yards as rookie, showing his exceptional hands and also displaying solid play-making ability.
If the Brandon Marshall situation worsens (or especially if he’s traded), Royal could see a huge rise in his stock.
24. Anthony Gonzalez—Indianapolis Colts
With the departure of future Hall of Famer Marvin Harrison, Anthony Gonzalez slides into No. 88’s shoes, and will take his shot at being Indianapolis’s No. 2 receiver.
Gonzalez has good speed and quickness as well as fairly reliable hands—all making the transition easier on him and the rest of the offense.
Reggie Wayne and Dallas Clark’s looks should see a jump over Gonzalez, but 1,000 yards and 5+ scores isn’t unrealistic.
Tier Three (Rounds 8-12)
25. Torry Holt—Jacksonville Jaguars
Holt may be aging and declining a bit, but it was clear that the Rams offense was self-destructing, which could hardly put all the blame on one person, especially him.
He was struggling with no clear-cut help opposite from him at receiver as well as poor play for Marc Bulger and their offensive line.
Holt may be walking into another situation where the offensive line could make-or-break his team’s season. But as the No. 1 option on a new team, he should put up solid enough numbers to warrant a mid-to-late round selection.
26. Braylon Edwards—Cleveland Browns
Which version of Edwards will we see? The one who took the league by storm in 2007 for 1,200 yards and 16 touchdowns, or the one who drops everything thrown to him?
If Edwards can rebound, he could be a fantastic steal in the middle rounds. If he’s on your radar, monitor the quarterback situation as well as the improvement of his supporting cast.
27. Roy Williams—Dallas Cowboys
Williams is “the guy” in Dallas, now that Terrell Owens is in Buffalo, so regardless of your opinion on him, he’s likely to put up solid numbers.
If he can get back to the player he was becoming in Detroit (before Calvin Johnson arrived), Dallas could find exactly the receiver they traded for.
28. Chad Ochocinco—Cincinnati Bengals
It’s easy to blame Ochocinco for his poor season last year, but a bad offensive line, a weak rushing game, and Ryan Fitzpatrick are much more responsible than No. 85.
Ochocinco looks to be back in top form with Carson Palmer returning to full health as well as some fresh additions to the offensive line. It may come as a shock to a lot of people, but the man formerly known as Chad Johnson is more likely to return to dominance than not.
Draft him low, but draft him with confidence.
29. Steve Breaston—Arizona Cardinals
Can Breaston put up 1,000 yards again? Probably not.
Arizona definitely has the talent and the system to duplicate all of last season’s offensive success, but teams rarely end a season with three receivers over 1,000 yards. It’s even more unlikely for it to happen two seasons in a row.
Regardless, Breaston is a gifted receiver, and should be in the mix for 65-75 receptions.
30. Jerricho Cotchery—New York Jets
Cotchery may not know who his quarterback is yet, but as long as he’s the number one guy, that’s all you need to be concerned with.
The Plaxico Burress talks have died down, so it’s looking like Cotchery will be all by his lonesome when the season starts.
As return to 1,000 yards and six or more scores is very possible.
31. Santana Moss—Washington Redskins
Despite the offense struggling mightily in the second half of the season, Moss performed well, and ended the season with over 1,000 yards and six scores.
If Jason Campbell can keep progressing, Moss could emerge for the second straight year as a solid fantasy weapon. If not, he could be a bust just like he was in those two years prior.
32. Bernard Berrian—Minnesota Vikings
With the likely addition of Brett Favre, Berrian’s numbers should only get better.
Even at 28, Berrian is still a bit raw, and is still perfecting the position.
He’s an excellent deep threat though. With Favre on board, he should be able to crack 1,000 yards for the first time in his career.
33. DeSean Jackson—Philadelphia Eagles
It’s hard to gauge who exactly is the No. 1 in Philadelphia. But as far as speed, talent, and potential goes, it appears Jackson could be in line for the most looks and touches.
Jackson poured in over 900 receiving yards as a rookie, and even has over 400 pun return yards, including one for score.
With only two receiving touchdowns, Jackson’s stock is still fairly low for his ability. Throw in the fact that Donovan McNabb loves to spread the ball around, and no Eagles receiver has the makings of WR1 label.
34. Kevin Walter—Houston Texans
Walter keeps improving, and with a stud like Andre Johnson lined up on the other side of him, he will rarely have problems getting open.
This will help increase his looks and big-plays, which will only add to his medium-level production as the team’s third option—behind Owen Daniels.
As stated with Andre Johnson, a healthy Matt Schaub for an entire season will pay huge dividends for Walter as well.
35. Kevin Curtis—Philadelphia Eagles
Curtis is reportedly 100 percent for the first time in over a year; however, the recent drafting of Jeremy Maclin is likely to cut into his numbers.
While Curtis still has the talent and speed to get back to his 2007 numbers (1,100 yards and six scores), he is no longer the clear-cut go-to guy, and his numbers could suffer.
36. Derrick Mason—Baltimore Ravens
You can gripe about Joe Flacco not being an elite passer, or the fact that Mason is 35. The fact is, he still gets the job done.
Mason played through an extremely painful shoulder injury for much of last season, yet still grabbed 80 balls for over 1,000 yards and five scores.
With Flacco improving, Mason should be able to repeat those numbers.
37. Laveraneus Coles—Cincinnati Bengals
Coles comes into a good situation, despite many experts being pessimistic about Cincinnati and it’s offense.
Coles is faster and more athletic than the former number two receiver, T.J. Houshmandzadeh, and will have plenty of looks as the second overall option for a healthy Carson Palmer.
If he finds a niche early in the Bengals offense, Coles could prove to be a solid WR3.
Tier Four (Late Rounds)
38. Michael Crabtree—San Francisco 49ers
San Francisco has yet to decide who their starting quarterback will be, and the same goes for their receivers.
Crabtree is an early favorite to snag one of the starting jobs, but the quarterback situation (and the fact that he’s a rookie) could be enough to scare the casual fantasy owner away.
While most rookie receivers take time to develop, it’s important to note that Crabtree’s game doesn’t depend on speed, but more his reliable hands and ball skills.
He could be in for some rough patches, but still could easily be a decent WR3.
39. Deion Branch—Seattle Seahawks
Branch has yet to live up to his big contract with Seattle, but since they’re paying him, he’ll get every chance to keep one of the two starting gigs.
Branch has the speed and ability to be a solid fantasy weapon, but with no elite seasons under his belt, he’s a scary selection.
40. Devin Hester—Chicago Bears
Hester is progressing slowly as a starter, but still put up over 50 catches and 665 yards, which are encouraging statistics, considering Chicago’s lackluster pass attack as well as their commitment to the ground game.
Now that Jay Cutler is in town though, that all could change.
Hester may not be the perfect receiver yet, but his speed and play-making will be put to great use with a bonafide Pro Bowl quarterback throwing him passes.
41. Donnie Avery—St. Louis Rams
Avery is an intriguing fantasy talent simply because he’s the starter for the Rams, and he put up over 600 yards receiving as a rookie.
However, the Rams are still the Rams, and Marc Bulger is still behind center.
Two things that should have you shaking your head no on anyone in St. Louis not named Steven Jackson.
42. Chris Chambers—San Diego Chargers
Chambers will be 31 in August, and is coming off of three straight seasons of 700 yards or less, and five touchdowns or less.
The saddest part? He scored all of his five touchdowns in the first five games last season, and topped 60 yards receiving just once the rest of the way.
Chambers is still talented and can grow into a bigger role, but it’s clear that Vincent Jackson and Antonio Gates get the looks ahead of him.
43. Michael Jenkins—Atlanta Falcons
While everyone was hyping up Roddy White (as they should), Jenkins was quietly having one of his better seasons in Atlanta as he grabbed 50 catches for 777 yards.
Jenkins should continues to be a big-play threat for Matt Ryan, and with his great size (6’4”), he could even begin to develop into a red-zone threat.
44. Ted Ginn Jr.—Miami Dolphins
Reports from Miami’s camps say nothing but good things about Ginn, which lead many to believe that he’s finally ready to take the next step toward becoming an elite receiver.
Ginn put up 56 catches for over 700 yards in his second season as the starter, and could improve on those numbers with another year with Chad Pennington. Ginn is a solid sleeper to break-out in 2009, and could be had late in your draft as a solid WR3.
45. Mark Clayton—Baltimore Ravens
Clayton has so much speed, athleticism, and big-play ability, that it’s almost a crime to have him this low on the list.
But with only three touchdowns in the past two seasons, and less than 50 catches for two straight years, he’s not exactly a threat to consistently dominate.
The more comfortable Joe Flacco gets, the more likely Clayton is to post better numbers. But considering Derrick Mason is the more polished receiver with better hands, it may be another year or two away from happening.
46. Miles Austin—Dallas Cowboys
Outside of Roy Williams, the slots for the Dallas receivers are wide open.
Another man to consider here is Patrick Crayton, but many reports have Austin as the guy who will eventually snag the number two receiver spot.
With his electric performance against Green Bay last year (115 yards, 1 TD), he displayed his big-play ability.
Crayton could easily be had right around the same spot, so like with any other situation where several players are battling for spots, you’ll have to go with your gut.
47. Domenik Hixon—New York Giants
At least for right now, Hixon is the most reliable receiver on the Giants to draft.
He’s not Plaxico Burress, but over 596 yards in his first try as a starter shows he at least has the potential to be a solid receiver in the NFL.
With three straight games of 60 yards or more to end the season, Hixon is a solid addition as a WR3 or first-in-line back-up.
48. Jeremy Maclin—Philadelphia Eagles
Maclin should look to make plays out of the slot in his first year, and depending on injuries or instant impact, he could see his role increase.
He has exceptional speed and has great fluidity in his movements. However, as stated before, all three of the Eagles receivers on this list don’t look to end the season any better than a WR2, and are likely WR3 candidates.
49. Muhsin Muhammad—Carolina Panthers
Muhsin Muhammad picked up right where he left off in his first season back in Carolina.
He provided Jake Delhomme with a reliable second target, as he caught 65 passes for 923 yards and five scores.
He’s obviously past his prime, but even at 36, he is still a solid receiver. If you think he can stick around 900 yards again, draft him as your WR3.
50. Devery Henderson—New Orleans Saints
Henderson is that insane kid with lightning speed. You know, the one that can run past the secondary, but can’t run routes.
If he could develop consistent go-to moves when facing pres coverages, he would be a lot more effective. Then again, actually catching the ball would help, too.
Still, no one covers as much ground as Henderson does with the number of catches he receivers.
For his career, Henderson has averaged over 21 yards per catch, and has accumulated over 2,200 yards while never catching more than 32 passes in a season.
While he may not get many looks, it’s arguable that he does more with his than any other player in the league.
The main problem with Henderson is that he can register two catches for 150 yards and a score one game, but then deliver four games in a row of two catches for 20 yards.