Five Fantasy Football Players That Are Over-Valued

We get it. Michael Turner had a huge season last year. So did Drew Brees and DeAngelo Williams, and a lot of other guys.

But before you go drafting either of these guys number one overall over the “real” best running back-Adrian Peterson-maybe you should consider the unlikeliness of them repeating on their recent success.

Read on to see five guys who you may want to stay away from, if for no better reason than being disappointed.

Fantasy Football Tier Rankings: Quarterbacks

Fantasy football rankings can only do so much.

When you’re in the heated battle of a live draft, it’s sometimes difficult to find a glaring difference between, say, Aaron Rodgers and Philip Rivers. You could even make that argument for the top three quarterbacks in the league—Tom Brady, Peyton Manning, and Drew Brees.

It’s not necessarily about “who is better”. It’s more about the fact that all three are worth a selection in the first two rounds, while no other quarterbacks are.

Next time you’re drafting, take a look at these tier rankings, and you’ll have a solid understanding of each player’s value, as well as where you can expect them to be (or not be).

Tier One (Rounds 1-2)

1. Tom Brady—New England Patriots

He still has Randy Moss and Wes Welker, and the New England offense ran smoothly, even without him. He may not throw 50 touchdowns again, but do you really think someone else will play better?

Why you should draft him: For the possibility of reaching 2007’s numbers again.

Why you shouldn’t: He could be rusty.

2. Peyton Manning—Indianapolis Colts

He’s still a top five quarterback, but there may be too many changes for there to be no drop-off in 2009.

As long as he has Reggie Wayne, Manning is relevant, but losing Tony Dungy, Tom Moore, and Marvin Harrison all in one offseason should affect him.

Why you should draft him: He’s as consistent as they come.

Why you shouldn’t: Changes around him could impact his game.

3. Drew Brees—New Orleans Saints

Brees is fresh off a 34-touchdown and 5,000-yard season. But is that truly something he can repeat?

Probably not, but that offense sets him up for at least 4,000 yards and 25+ scores.

Why you should draft him: Because right now, he’s the hottest signal caller in the league.

Why you shouldn’t: 5,000 yards is a rarity. He’s unlikely to eclipse that number in back-to-back seasons.

4. Kurt Warner—Arizona Cardinals

He may be old, but Warner still has fresh legs and a lively arm. He’s not quite as brittle or injury-prone as advertised, either.

With an exciting offense, featuring a receiving corps that goes four-deep supporting him, another 30+ touchdowns could be in order, as well as 4,000 yards passing.

Why you should draft him: His team is still young and promising, and he still has “it”.

Why you shouldn’t: At 38, he’s a high injury risk.

Tier Two (Rounds 3-6)

5. Aaron Rodgers—Green Bay Packers

While Brett Favre may now again be back in the picture, there is little reason to hate on Rodgers.

He put up 4,000 yards and 31 combined touchdowns in his first season. How scared are you of him once he truly gets comfortable? He could easily finish above Kurt Warner or Peyton Manning in fantasy points, but he can be had for less.

Why you should draft him: He has a good set of receivers and a good offense.

Why you shouldn’t: He could be headed for a sophomore slump.

6. Philip Rivers—San Diego Chargers

Rivers came into his own last season, and with the same weapons returning, he should look to possibly even improve on 2008’s Pro Bowl numbers.

Rivers isn’t a one-year wonder, but you can draft him as if he was.

Why you should draft him: He’s maturing into one of the great, young quarterbacks.

Why you shouldn’t: With a healthy LT and Darren Sproles, Chargers could rely on ground game more.

7. Tony Romo—Dallas Cowboys

Is there life after T.O.? I believe so.

Romo still has his boy, Jason Witten, as well as one of the best running tandems in the league.

Jason Garrett knows what he’s doing, too. Romo will be fine. Get him for dirt cheap.

Why you should draft him: He still has Witten, and that’s worked out well.

Why you shouldn’t: Dallas should look to run more, and Owens is gone.

8. Donovan McNabb—Philadelphia Eagles

If it wasn’t an extreme rarity for McNabb to finish a full season, he’d be listed higher.

His team is back in the pre-season Super Bowl talk, he has an explosive set of receivers, and he’s still backed by Brian Westbrook (if he can stay healthy).

Why you should draft him: Their offense is still exciting, and big numbers are possible.

Why you shouldn’t: There is some uncertainty surrounding Westbrook, and McNabb’s injury history makes him a risk.

9. Carson Palmer—Cincinnati Bengals

Palmer is coming back from a huge surgery, so there’s enough questions surrounding his arm that could make you uneasy about drafting him.

Add to it that Chad Ochocino is an unpredictable prim donna, and it’s hard to be too sold on Palmer’s supporting cast.

Reports from camp have Palmer and co. in good spirits, and predicting big things; however, it should be noted that only two months from the season opener, Palmer’s arm still isn’t close to 100%.

Why you should draft him: Something tells me Ochocinco is determined to right this ship.

Why you shouldn’t: Something tells me Ochocinco isn’t determined to right this ship.

10. Matt Schaub—Houston Texans

Anyone who has Andre Johnson as their top receiver is a candidate for a huge season. Throw in Steve Slaton, Owen Daniels, and Kevin Walter, and Matt Schaub is officially on the brink of fantasy greatness.

The rest is on Gary Kubiak.

Why you should draft him: He threw for 3,000 yards and 15 touchdowns in only 10 full games.

Why you shouldn’t: Has yet to play more than 11 games in a season as the starter.

11. Jay Cutler—Chicago Bears

On pure talent alone, Cutler is easily in the top ten, and regardless of popular opinion, he very well may finish the season among the league’s best.

However, adjusting to a new offense, city, and teammates should never be overlooked.

But if Kyle Orton could throw 18 touchdowns and nearly 3,000 yards with the same talent, what can Cutler accomplish?

Why you should draft him: He’s Jay Cutler, and he really is this good.

Why you shouldn’t: New weapons are less potent.

12. Ben Roethlisberger—Pittsburgh Steelers

Big Ben hasn’t been the “ideal” fantasy option at quarterback, but he’s proven to be more than serviceable on a consistent basis.

The loss of Nate Washington will force Limas Sweed into being a go-to man, but could also hinder Roethlisberger in the long run. With Hines Ward and Santonio Holmes still around, though, the future is bright for Roethlisberger and the Steelers.

Why you should draft him: Because 2007 is still possible.

Why you shouldn’t: Because 2004, 2005, 2006, and 2008 are more likely.

13. Matt Ryan—Atlanta Falcons

It’s a big jump to go from solid “game-manager” as a rookie, to elite quarterback as a sophomore. With Ryan, I see it happening.

Michael Turner is still backing him with one of the league’s most effective ground games, and now Ryan has Tony Gonzalez to team with the explosive Roddy White and serviceable Michael Jenkins.

Teams will focus on the run against Atlanta. Ryan could have a huge year.

Why you should draft him: His offense breathes “Super Bowl contender”, and he showed us a lot late in the season.

Why you shouldn’t: Atlanta is still a run-first team.

14. Eli Manning—New York Giants

Yes, he’s won a Super Bowl, and yes, he’s even thrown for over 20 touchdowns in four straight years, but has never thrown for more than 24 touchdowns or 3,800 yards. In fact, he hasn’t thrown for more than 3,400 yards since 2005.

Factor in a completely new set of receivers and no Plaxico Burress, and his projected numbers don’t look too sexy.

Why you should take him: He’s a Manning.

Why you shouldn’t: He had 11 games with one or zero passing touchdowns in 2008.

15. Matt Hasselbeck—Seattle Seahawks

Hasselbeck’s back appears to be aligned and working, so a return to his 2007 form isn’t out of the question.

His running game is still mush, but with new additions (and health) to his receiving corps, his prospects for 2009 are looking far brighter than they were at the beginning og last year.

Seattle may not be a Super Bowl contender anymore, but Hasselbeck could surprise some people.

Why you should draft him: Someone has to throw T.J. Houshmandzadeh the ball.

Why you shouldn’t: He’s playing his first year without his mentor, Mike Holmgren.

Tier Three (Rounds 7-14)

16. Matt Cassel—Kansas City Chiefs

If Cassel was preparing for year two in New England as the starter, his stock would be extremely high.

However, with a new coach, system, and a huge drop-off in offensive weapons, he’s starting all over again.

Why you should draft him: He’s as good as advertised.

Why you shouldn’t: The change of scenery could hold him back.

17. Brett Favre—Minnesota Vikings

If Favre signs, he’s backed by the league’s best running back, and he’s back in his old division.

The only knock on him is his age and interceptions. With AP leading the way, will it matter?

Why you should take him: Sure, he’s pushing 40, but like him or not, he’s still got it.

Why you shouldn’t: Last year’s late slide is still scary.

18. Trent Edwards—Buffalo Bills

Edwards had the makings of a solid NFL signal caller, with or without the addition of Terrell Owens in the offseason. But with T.O., Edwards could see an accelerated jump to the elite—that is, if the chemistry is there, and Edwards’ long ball can be consistent.

Why you should draft him: T.O. rarely disappoints in his first year.

Why you shouldn’t: In 24 games, he has 18 touchdowns. Not exactly electric.

19. Kyle Orton—Denver Broncos

Orton put up decent numbers in his final season with Chicago, and he didn’t even have a true No. 1 receiver on his team.

If he can inherit Brandon Marshall and Eddie Royal, he could thrive.

Why you should draft him: His new weapons could catapult him into the top 10.

Why you shouldn’t: Brandon Marshall’s future is in limbo.

20. David Garrard—Jacksonville Jaguars

Garrard grew as a passer last season, but more because his offensive line was horrendous, and less because he had good options to throw to.

With Matt Jones and Dennis Northcutt gone, and only an aging Torry Holt around to take their place, Jacksonville will likely lean hard on the ground game.

Why you should draft him: If he throws less than 400 balls again, he can be extremely efficient.

Why you shouldn’t: His weapons aren’t exciting.

21. Chad Pennington—Miami Dolphins

Pennington won the Comeback Player of the Year award last season—which is both good and bad.

It shows he has a ton of dedication, and can play through adversity. But how long can it last?

Why you should draft him: Like it or not, he’s what makes Miami go.

Why you shouldn’t: A return to 2007 is more likely than a repeat of 2008.

22. Joe Flacco—Baltimore Ravens

Flacco has great size and arm strength, and should have much more confidence heading into his second season; however, he ended the season on a sour note, and still has mediocre weapons.

The Ravens have a solid RBBC approach, and it appears they are, once again, an offense that’s tied to the success of their rush attack.

Why you should draft him: His chemistry with his receivers is improving.

Why you shouldn’t: Even if he progresses, the Ravens won’t throw much.

23. Jason Campbell—Washington Redskins

Campbell got off to a hot start in 2008, throwing for eight scores, up against zero interceptions in the Redskins’ first eight games.

However, Campbell and the rest of Washington’s offense fell apart after that, dropping to 8-8, after starting the season at 6-2.

Why you should draft him: This could be his break-out year.

Why you shouldn’t: Last season was as good as it gets.

24. Jake Delhomme—Carolina Panthers

Delhomme ended a less-than-spectacular 2008 with five interceptions against the Arizona Cardinals. While most took this as a sign that Carolina needed to move on and draft a franchise quarterback, Jon Fox and co. apparently looked at it as simply a “bad game”.

The truth is, in six seasons as the Panthers’ starter, Delhomme has produced one “elite” season, while only tossing for more than 3,400 yards or 20 touchdowns one other time.

Why you should draft him: Steve Smith keeps Delhomme relevant.

Why you shouldn’t: He simply isn’t a good fantasy quarterback anymore.

25. Marc Bulger—St. Louis Rams

A new regime seems to have the right frame of mind, and the Rams are going to try their hand at being a run-first offense.

I’m not sure how Bulger will handle that, but with limited offensive weapons, he may not have a choice.

Why you should draft him: Because someone grabbed Brett Favre way too early.

Why you shouldn’t: Because there’s another starter available.

Tier Four (Bottom of the Barrel)

26. Kerry Collins—Tennessee Titans

Collins is 36 and hasn’t thrown for more than 12 touchdowns in nearly four years. However, if the passing game opens up a bit, it isn’t ridiculous to think that Collins could get back to the form he has in Oakland, where he was tossing 20 touchdowns a year, along with at least 3,400 yards.

The Titans will undoubtedly still lean heavily on the ground game, but Collins is a lot more serviceable than people think.

Why you should draft him: Just for pure depth.

Why you shouldn’t: You were smart enough to draft quarterbacks early.

27. Brady Quinn—Cleveland Browns

Quinn appears to be the “drug of choice” for Eric Mangini, and the Browns front office will find out, one way or another, exactly what they have in their golden boy.

Why you should draft him: Braylon Edwards is still dangerous, and Quinn can play.

Why you shouldn’t: Outside of Edwards, Quinn has almost no weapons.

28. Shaun Hill—San Francisco 49ers

Hill is the front-runner for the starting job, but the idea is for Alex Smith to win his job back.

Hill is incredibly efficient and wins games, but he’s no fantasy star.

Why you should draft him: Frank Gore and the rest of the offense should be better.

Why you shouldn’t: Outside of the aging Isaac Bruce, his receivers are unproven.

29. Mark Sanchez—New York Jets

If the Plaxico Burress talk comes to life, Sanchez could be looking at a very interesting (and possibly successful) rookie season.

Sanchez has all the tools, as well as the moxie, to do some damage in year one, but expecting a Matt Ryan-repeat is a bit much.

Why you should draft him: If they land Burress, the offense is solid.

Why you shouldn’t: If it’s just Cotchery, Sanchez will struggle.

30. Daunte Culpepper—Detroit Lions

Culpepper may not be anywhere close to where he was when he was in Minnesota, but as long as Calvin Johnson is running routes, whoever is quarterback in Detroit could put up serviceable numbers, at worst.

The Lions don’t want to put Sanchez behind a sketchy offensive line so soon, so we’ll get to see Culpepper take a beating, instead.

Why you should draft him: He has solid chemistry with Calvin Johnson.

Why you shouldn’t: He’s no lock to start.

31. Jeff Garcia—Oakland Raiders

Garcia is already out-performing Jamarcus Russell, and if Russell falters early, Garcia could easily step in and put up better numbers.

That is, if he doesn’t win the job in pre-season.

Why you should draft him: Only in deep leagues with two quarterback rosters.

Why you shouldn’t: He’s not the starter, yet.

32. Luke McCown—Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Byron Leftwich is currently listed as the projected starter, but McCown has better moxie, and is passionate in the huddle.

While McCown isn’t the best option out there, he still provides better fantasy value than Leftwich, while either are better than rookie Josh Freeman right now.

Why you should draft him: Only if he’s the starter.

Why you shouldn’t: He threw one pass in all of 2008.

Click here for more rankings, articles, and sports talk.

Seattle Seahawks’ Mike Hass Catching On?

Recent reports out of the Seattle Seahawks’ Organized Team Activities suggest Mike Hass is a Pro Bowler waiting to happen.

Tell that to T.J. Houshmandzadeh.

Tell that to Deion Branch and Nate Burleson.

Hell, send Logan Payne an e-mail.

The fact is, this isn’t news. In fact, to anyone who knows about Mike Hass and his under valued abilities, it’s getting fairly repetitive.

Let’s be honest. Receivers aren’t what they used to be.

No longer do they make rosters based on being able to actually catch the ball. No, instead, their ability to succeed in the NFL is based on their talent after they catch the ball.

Interesting, considering half the receivers in the league can’t do the first.

I won’t get into specifics. This isn’t a Mike Hass shrine.

If you want the stats, awards, and gaudy adjectives, go to Wikepedia.

Research Hass on ESPN.com. But don’t expect me to serenade you with quotes about his awesome catching ability, refined route-running, his leaping ability, body control, or extremely underrated elusiveness.

After all, this is an article. Serenading you would be quite difficult.

So too, though, is it for Mike Hass to latch onto an NFL team.

Pac-10 record books. Check.

NFL practice squads. You got it.

Game-day active list. You betcha.

But a single catch in the NFL-not so much.

All you hear about in the offseason about Hass every year, is how sensational he is with the ball, and how he has the best hands on every team he’s practicing with.

So, why then, is he constantly out of a job?

Is a 4.6 40 time really that slow?

Is Hass so ordinary when it comes to athletic ability, that the Chicago Beats preferred to throw caution to the wind and start Devin Hester as their true No. 1 receiver?

Are you seriously telling me that, in the past few years, “talent” such as Devery Henderson, Rashied Davis, and Brandon Lloyd were so good that they deserved a spot above this guy?

Realistically, the only edge these guys have on Hass (and we’re really only talking about Henderson), is their speed and/or athleticism.

And if we’re really going to talk about athleticism, I’ll stop you right there.

Just look at the film. Hass is a superb athlete.

He makes defenders miss, leaps for balls, makes acrobatic catches, and scores touchdowns at will.

He’s made the transition, speed be damned, and he’s catching everything coaches (and quarterbacks) can throw at him.

It’s about time someone tosses him an actual contract.

The Roberts Raid: Five Burning Questions

This is a new colunn that will allow readers to ask questions about the NFL and NBA, and I will respond through a weekly column, answering those questions.

Is Denver serious about trading Brandon Marshall? If so, where do you think he will go? Scott-Green Bay, WI

No, I don’t think they want to trade him at all, at least not after recent reports. However, much like the Cutler situation, I don’t believe they have much of a choice.

Marshall doesn’t have the appropriate leverage, but he could definitely make things uglier than they already are.

The truth is, he actually had a fairly strong argument. He’s dropped in two straight Pro Bowl-level seasons, and is now forced into trying to do so again in a contract year with a new quarterback, coach, and offense.

All he’s asking for is the team to back him up.

If he does in fact get traded, I see Baltimore and New York (Jets) as the most likely AFC candidates, while Chicago, Arizona, Green Bay, Minnesota, and Dallas seem like interesting possibilities in the NFC.

In the end, if he does get traded, I feel it will be out of the AFC.

Do you see Tom Brady getting back to his 2007 form, or will Bill Belichick wish he had held onto Matt Cassel? Nate-Waukesha, WI

Personally, I think he’s fully recovered. And if that’s not reason enough to believe the three-time champion can rebound, then just look at his supporting cast.

Randy Moss and Wes Welker put up big seasons without Brady, and the team even finished 11-5, barely missing the playoffs. A hobbled Brady is better than Matt Cassel, so yes, a return to his 2007 form is very possible.

With Cutler in Chicago, Favre possibly going to Minnesota, and Detroit being Detroit, who do you see winning the NFC North? Roger- Flagstaff, AZ

I see you didn’t mention Green Bay in your question, which either means they “go without saying”, or you’re not a fan.

Regardless, it’s definitely between everyone BUT Detroit, and if Favre indeed does sign, it could be a proverbial toss-up.

For the first time in years, all three of those teams would have better than average quarterbacks, and all three teams should have effective offenses.

I see Minnesota as having the best defense and most explosive offensive options, though, and despite being a Packers supporter, would have to give the nod to them.

Where will Hedo Turkoglu go, or will he stay in Orlando?

I honestly feel that he’s just testing the market. He wants to know what he’s worth at 30 years old, and he wants to see if Orlando loves him as much as he loves them.

He’s a great player with underrated athleticism, and is a versatile threat from anywhere on the court. He was easily the glue that held Orlando together throughout the playoffs, and without him they won’t have a chance at returning to the Finals next year.

However, if he does intend on leaving, I can’t imagine him playing for anyone that can’t contend for a title.

I would narrow it down between Dallas, San Antonio, Houston, and possibly even Boston.

Is Brett Favre coming back, where is he going, and how will he and his team do if he un-retires?

If you’ve been watching ESPN or surfing the web lately, it’s almost a certainty that he will come back, and if he does, it will be with no other team but the Minnesota Vikings.

I think he wants to know by the end of June if he’ll be 100%, because waiting any longer will hurt chemistry with the team and his receivers.

Favre should be fine, and should sign sometime in the first week of July, if not sooner.

With a great supporting cast, a ton of explosive weapons (including Adrian Peterson), a stat-line of 3,600 yards, 25 TD, and 16 INT isn’t insane to expect.

Future comments, suggestions, or questions can be mailed in to kevin.roberts@cuw.edu, where your name and question can be seen on a featured column.

Fantasy Football: NFC Wide Receiver Preview

(Above: Can Roy Williams Step Up?)

One of the most difficult things to guess is a team’s starting receiving line-up, especially this early in the season. Rookies can gain huge strides due to injuries or poor performances from veterans, while lackluster efforts from the corps can cause the front office to panic and sign someone off the street, or even try to pull a trade.

There are a lot of questions regarding Plaxico Burress, Matt Jones, Marvin Harrison, and now even Brandon Marshall.

With the AFC out of the way, here’s a look at each NFC team’s current receivers that could make an impact, both in your fantasy league, and in reality.

 

NFC East

New York Giants—Domenik Hixon, Steve Smith, Sinorice Moss, Hakeem Nicks, Ramses Barden, Mario Manningham

This is as clustered and confusing as it gets in the NFL.

With the departures of Plaxico Burress and Amani Toomer, the Giants have four hold-overs (five if you really want to include David Tyree) from last season, and they also spent two early picks on a pair of potential-ridden receivers.

Both of their new receivers are fairly raw, but arguably are already upgrades over their predecessors.

In the interim, Hixon and Smith appear to be the starters, with Moss taking over duties in the slot. Smith is probably the best receiver suited for slot duties on the team, while Moss is a constant example of what a bust looks like.

In the long-term, it’s going to be Nicks and Barden, but when they take over remains very much up in the air. It’s safe to say that none of these guys should be drafted in your league before the 10th round.

Dallas Cowboys—Roy Williams, Patrick Crayton, Miles Austin

We know Williams has talent and can inconsistently dominate secondaries, but it’s also clear that he hasn’t quite put it all together, and if last year is any evidence, we should be prepared for the possibility that he never will.

Patrick Crayton, despite the hype from Dallas assistants, is no better than a slot option, and shouldn’t be targeted as heavy as Miles Austin in fantasy drafts. Austin has electric, game-breaking abilities, and if he can develop quickly enough, could bypass Crayton permanently for the number two spot.

Realistically, though, Dallas will be a run-first team, with Jason Witten being the first receiving option, and the looks will then trickle down the line. Williams is probably the only receiver with true fantasy value.

Washington Redskins—Santana Moss, Antwaan Randle El, Devin Thomas, Malcolm Kelly

Much like Dallas, Washington figures to rely heavily on their running game, but it’s not because they don’t have receiving options.

Moss can be an elite receiver when healthy, and after producing another 1,000-yard season, could still be a solid WR2 in most leagues. Randle El is still a dynamic threat and sparingly drops in performances worthy of being regarded as a low WR3, but doesn’t score much, and isn’t very consistent.

The main thing holding them both back, along with the two second year receivers, is the slow development of quarterback Jason Campbell.

If Campbell can take that next step, the winner of the slot duel between Thomas and Kelly could have some decent value.

Philadelphia Eagles—Kevin Curtis, DeSean Jackson, Jeremy Maclin, Jason Avant

Philly’s offense has always been about throwing the ball to set up the run, and it’s never been good for creating a great fantasy receiver. That is, outside of Terrell Owens’ stint in the city of brotherly love.

I still like both Kevin Curtis and DeSean Jackson as solid WR3 receivers (Jackson a little more), with Maclin more than likely emerging over Jason Avant for slot duties.

Don’t be shocked to see Curtis demoted to slot duties at tome point, while Maclin takes over at split end. It’s not written in stone, but after 10 mock drafts, and seeing Curtis still on the board by round 12 in every one, something is clearly not right.

NFC North

Green Bay Packers—Greg Jennings, Donald Driver, Jordy Nelson, James Jones

Aaron Rodgers is only going to get more comfortable with the offense and with his receivers, so look for Jennings and Driver to continue their success, while Jennings most likely even improves on his.

Jordy Nelson is an intriguing option that we didn’t get to see a ton of, due to a poor rush offense, and Rodgers settling on Jennings or Driver, usually executing on his early reads.

Nelson was utilized in the slot more than he should be last season, when he’s actually more of a split end receiver. He’ll be battling James Jones for the third spot for when Green Bay lines three wide, with the loser having no fantasy value.

Minnesota Vikings—Bernard Berrian, Sidney Rice, Percy Harvin

Congratulations, Minnesota, your receiving corps’ stock just went up.

That is, if Brett Favre does indeed sign.

It’s looking that way, and if it happens, Bernard Berrian’s deep-threat abilities only get scarier. He averaged over 20 yards per catch last season, almost turning a meager 48 catches into 1,000 yards (964). With Favre around, Berrian could easily be a top-flight WR2 option.

Favre’s presence is likely to affect everyone, and despite the popular opinion going the other way, it should all be positive.

Sidney Rice should rise from his sophomore slump, and could close in on 600 yards as the second receiver. Percy Harvin, who was already getting people excited on his own merit, could be even more dynamic in the slot and out of the backfield, due to his other teammate’s stepping up.

Chicago Bears—Devin Hester, Earl Bennett, Juaquin Iglesias, Rashied Davis, Johnny Knox

Kyle Orton threw 18 touchdowns and almost 3,000 yards with the same options that Chicago has this year, minus the two rookies.

How do you think Jay Cutler will fare? Probably a lot better.

Cutler may not approach 4,500 yards in the Bears’ usually conservative offense, but he’ll definitely make his receivers better, and his presence will open things up for the entire offense.

Hester isn’t a true number one receiver, and may never be one, but for now, he’ll do. He projects as a low-end WR3 to start the season, and simply based on his speed and athleticism, could rise to a WR2 by mid-season.

I’m not high on Earl Bennett, and would like to see Juaqin Iglesias steal the number two job. He hasn’t been doing well in camp, though, so if you can steal Bennett late in your draft, I suggest you do so.

Detroit Lions—Calvin Johnson, Bryant Johnson, Ronald Curry

Regardless of who ends up playing behind center, there doesn’t look to be much value here outside of Calvin Johnson. Bryant Johnson is a solid veteran who is best suited for the slot, so if he’s their number two, he probably won’t deliver the production you’re craving.

Ronald Curry is an interesting player in the slot, and it wouldn’t be surprising for him and Bryant Johnson to switch places.

If you aim to win in your league, however, I wouldn’t take anyone other than Calvin Johnson or Kevin Smith from this team.

NFC South

New Orleans Saints—Marques Colston, Lance Moore, Devery Henderson, Robert Meachem

Despite nagging injuries stopping his string of 1,000-yard seasons to start his career at two, Colston is still a WR1, and should be on your listed of “must-have’s.”

Drew Brees may not throw for over 5,000 yards again (then again, maybe he will), but he’ll surely come close. That offense, Brees, and the talent surrounding him is too good for him to not perform well.

Lance Moore, no matter where he is listed, is very dangerous, and is an elite WR3. Devery Henderson is officially listed as the No. 2 above Moore, but he will see less looks, and has less value.

However, both he and Robert Meachem are worthy owning in deep leagues, because the Saints throw the ball a ton, and also spread the ball out extremely well.

Atlanta Falcons—Roddy White, Michael Jenkins, Harry Douglas

Matt Ryan will be handed the keys to the “real” Atlanta offense, as Mike Smith and co. will finally see what they really have in the former Boston College star. What we’ve seen out of Ryan has been great, but with the addition of Tony Gonzalez and a second year with this new offense jelling together, great things are in the stars.

Roddy White is an easy call as a top-end WR1, with Jenkins falling into a low-end WR3 label—and that’s being kind. He had a good year last year, but Ryan figures to spread things out even more with Harry Douglas emerging, as well as with the addition of the future Hall of Famer, Gonzalez.

Carolina Panthers—Steve Smith, Muhsin Muhammad, Dwayne Jarrett

Smith is still a top 10 receiver-top five, depending on who you talk to—and is probably the only reason Jake Delhomme is still starting for Carolina.

Still, Delhomme is serviceable, and does a fantastic job of helping to keep Smith as an elite WR1 in fantasy football.

Muhsin Muhammad, while clearly aging and slowing down a bit, isn’t a terrible WR3, as he has found a comfortable niche as the second option behind Smith.

Jarrett is almost unusable as Carolina’s third receiver, though, both in fantasy and reality. Don’t draft him.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers—Antonio Bryant, Michael Clayton, Sammie Stroughter

I don’t know what’s more depressing; that Michael Clayton is still struggling to find his way back to a 1,000-yard season, or the rookie (Stroughter) might stop him from doing it.

Antonio Bryant made it clear last year that he’s a viable WR1, so long as he doesn’t have T.J. Rubley throwing him the ball. Unfortunately, with Luke McCown, Byron Leftwich, and Josh Freeman battling for the starting duties, his worst fear may come to life.

If Michael Clayton can hold onto the second spot, an approaching of his rookie numbers isn’t out of the question. However, the Buccaneers are bound to go slow with whoever is the quarterback, especially if it’s Freeman, and will more than likely depend on Derrick Ward and the running game.

This fact realistically only leaves Antonio Bryant as a good fantasy option.

NFC West

Arizona Cardinals—Larry Fitzgerald, Anquan Boldin, Steve Breaston, Jerheme Urban

As long as Kurt Warner stays healthy and the line protects him, all four of these receivers will be solid additions to any fantasy team.

Fitzgerald has the Madden Curse working against him, and if you’re superstitious, draft Andre Johnson or Randy Moss instead.

Boldin is also a risk due to his contract/trade demands. Still, both guys are immensely talented, and are the key cogs that make one of the league’s best offenses roll.

I don’t see Breaston hitting 1,000 yards again, but both he and Urban could crack 600 yards.

San Francisco 49ers—Michael Crabtree, Josh Morgan, Isaac Bruce, Jason Hill

Considering the team doesn’t even know who their quarterback is, it’s probably asking a bit much to draft a receiver from a team without two clear-cut starters at the position.

Crabtree is likely a front-runner for the No. 1 spot, but even he hasn’t been cemented into a role, yet.

If Bruce is healthy and playing, he could get back to the 800-1,000 yard range like last season. He can still run well, and the Niners need all the speed and play-making they can get.

Josh Morgan and Jason Hill will probably battle out for the “our role doesn’t matter” award.

Seattle Seahawks—T.J. Houshmandzadeh, Nate Burleson, Deion Branch

Are Seattle’s receiving problems finally over, or will Housh’ just be another contractual failure, much like Burleson and Branch?

If you’re going for good receiver talent that won’t mess with your head, stay away from Seattle.

If you’re going for a steal that could pay huge dividends, draft both Burleson and Branch.

Matt Hasselbeck is back and healthy, so we could see a return to his 2007 form. If not, it could be ugly again.

St. Louis Rams—Donnie Avery, Keenan Burton, Laurent Robinson

I’m high on Avery, but there is a dramatic drop-off as far as fantasy relevancy in St. Louis receivers after him.

Both Burton and Robinson have good speed and ball skills, but both are fairly raw, and still have Marc Bulger throwing to them.

Avery looks like a younger, more athletic Torry Holt, but even he needs to refine his route-running and work on his hands a bit.

This team still looks years away from turning this thing around, and it all starts at the quarterback position.

Fantasy Football: 10 Guys You Should Grab In The Late Rounds

The top ten of your draft is fairly self-explanatory, no matter the format or scoring settings.

It’s simply, really. If you have a league the has two quarterbacks starting, getting Drew Brees, Peyton Manning, or Tom Brady with your top pick isn’t a bad move.

If your league has three running backs starting, you probably would be doing yourself a favor to get the best three running backs available—and so on and so forth.

But what few people realize, is that many fantasy football championships are won in the later rounds, when owners take fliers on rookies, players with legal troubles, or guys without a team.

Here are 20 players, in no particular order, that deserve a shot to prove to you that they’re still fantasy relevant.

Plaxico Burress, WR, Free Agent

Rumors in New York (Jets) have cooled a bit, but don’t buy it. Burress will see his court issues simmer down for the 2009 season, likely allowing him to continue his playing career.

After all, how is a man to pay for all those lawyer’s if he can’t earn a paycheck?

Burress may still wind up with some sort of suspension, but either way, is worth taking in the later rounds of your draft, simply because he’s still a candidate for 1,100 yards and 10 touchdowns if he plays.

You’re not really going to draft a demoted Isaac Bruce before Burress, are you?

Matt Jones, WR, Free Agent

Jones won’t be facing any suspensions from the league, and the serious part of his legal issues is pretty much over with.

All Jones really has to worry about now is finding a starting spot on a team.

There are plenty of team (Jets, Giants, Cowboys, and Bears, just to name a few) that could use a 6’6” receiver with good hands and great speed.

Jones probably hasn’t signed yet for two reasons: He doesn’t want to go to OTAs, and a few teams may be a bit cautious about his recent problems.

Don’t worry. He’ll find a team and he’ll continue his progression into the better half of the league’s receivers. If the guy could put up solid numbers in Jacksonville, just imagine what he can do if Jay Cutler is throwing him the ball.

Edgerrin James, RB, Free Agent

James may be aging, but he showed he can still grind it out in last year’s playoff run with Arizona.

He’s lost some speed, but he’s a tough runner who is useful out of the backfield as a receiver, and is solid at picking up blitzes.

While he’s unlikely to find a starting job, he could be very useful as a change-of-pace back, with several teams in the league lacking veteran experience or overall depth at the position.

Brett Favre, QB, Free Agent

After Favre appeared on HBO’s Joe Buck Live and answered the tough questions, it appears imminent that he will sign with the Vikings.

Still, nothing is certain until he’s signed and in camp, so you can probably still get him in late rounds of your draft.

Maybe people either still don’t believe he’s coming back, or don’t feel he offers anything as a fantasy quarterback.

I’m here to tell you that it’s foolish to buy into that line of thinking. Favre has all the supporting cast in the world to put up his 2007 numbers again, although with less yards.

Adrian Peterson and Chester Taylor will pick up the slack so Favre won’t wear out his arm again, while Bernard Berrian will give Favre the big-play threat he craves.

The Vike’s solid offensive line should be able to protect Favre while this all goes on, and numbers like 3,500 yards, 25 TD, and 15 INT are extremely possible in an offense he knows better than anybody.

Laurence Maroney, RB, New England Patriots

No, he’s not guaranteed the starting job, and yes, he was hurt for most of last season. In fact, even when he was playing, he was ineffective and didn’t look like he did in 2007.

However, regardless of what you may have heard, he’s definitely in Bill Belichick’s plans, and based on the success of the RBBC in New England last season, he’s still a better pickup than, say, Noah Herron.

It obviously depends on how many teams are in your league, but if Maroney ever does grab hold of the starting job again, he could be a fantastic steal for you.

Peyton Hillis, RB/FB, Denver Broncos

After putting up over 340 yards and five touchdowns as the Broncos’ interim starting running back lat least season, Hillis figures to get some kind of touches in Josh McDaniels new offense.

Hillis is a versatile offensive threat that can run, block, and catch at an extremely high level, and should be used in a variety of packages.

Despite the likelihood he will be deployed a good amount, he’s lasting on boards until the very end of drafts. Make sure that he doesn’t.

Chris Henry, WR, Cincinnati Bengals

With a healthy Carson Palmer back and a new gung-ho attitude from teammate Chad Ochocinco (I still hate saying that), Henry could emerge as the explosive third option he was just three seasons ago.

Injuries to himself and his quarterback, as well as the usual off-field issues have been holding Henry back, but he could be primed for a big season if everything in Cincy works out as well as Carson Palmer thinks it will.

When healthy and out of trouble, Henry is a threat for six to nine scores, as well as 350-600 yards. He shouldn’t be without a fantasy owner when your draft is complete.

Brian Leonard, RB, Cincinnati Bengals

Let’s keep things relative, and address the Bengals ground game, too.

We all know Cedric Benson had an impressive three-game stretch to end the season last year, but we’re fooling ourselves if we think three good games can erase the previous three seasons of horrid play.

Benson is no sure thing, which is why the Bengals brought in Leonard from St. Louis.

Leonard will be used as a blocker and a third-down/short yardage back initially, but if Benson struggles, we could see him taking on a more prominent role.

Leonard is a very useful weapon as a receiver out of the backfield, as well, and Marvin Lewis will look for several different ways to get him on the field.

Mark Sanchez, QB, Jets vs. Matthew Stafford, QB, Lions

These guys are in a tie for now, simply because neither has been guaranteed the starting gig.

I like Stafford’s potential for this season better based on Calvin Johnson, while Sanchez has a better moxie to him, and probably has a better running game and overall team surrounding him.

Neither are Joe Flacco or Matt Ryan clones, and both are in worse situations than last year’s impressive rookies were. However, there is still some fantasy value there, and if they wind up starting, they could become useful in deeper leagues.

Jerome Harrison, RB, Cleveland Browns

Jamal Lewis is over 30 and clearly not as quick or fast as he used to be (was he ever?).

Harrison has been offering Cleveland a special change-of-pace style for a couple years now, and should finally get his chance to prove his worth.

He won’t take over the starting job before the season starts, but by the end of the season, I’d be shocked if they weren’t at least splitting carries.

The Wild Card

Joey Galloway, WR, New England Patriots

Galloway is definitely older for a receiver, but he can still burn rubber and get behind the secondary.

Bill Belichick’s offense will allow him to have the field all to himself with most of the attention focused on containing Randy Moss and Wes Welker.

Think back when Donte Stallworth was the third option on the 2007 New England team. Galloway could easily put up numbers in the realm of 50 rec, 750 yards, and 6 TD.

 

 

Denver Broncos’ Receiver Brandon Marshall Requests Trade

In the name of Jay Cutler, what the heck is happening in Denver?

After a meeting with owner Pat Bowlen on Friday, Brandon Marshall emerged with trade demands. The story was originally reported by NFL insider, Adam Schefter, who is generally an extremely reliable source.

Marshall has been griping about not wanting Denver’s medical staff to treat his injured hip for some time now, and the word has been out for even longer than he is unhappy with his contract.

After the way Josh McDaniels and co. treated his former quarterback, he has reason to be in a fit.

Marshall has had off-field problems since he’s been in Denver, but they risk has been worth the reward the past two seasons, as Marshall as notched at least 102 catches, 1,100 yards, and 6 touchdowns in back-to-back seasons.

It’s debatable whether or not Marshall will be as effective in a new offense and without Jay Cutler, but it is still very unwise for Denver management to be treating this manner so carelessly.

Owner pat Bowlen has reportedly asked Marshall to go home and think about the request some more, in an effort to calm the receiver and hopefully have him change his mind.

Marshall appears intent on getting out of Denver, however, as he was fairly upset over the treatment and subsequent trade of Cutler, and is now experiencing his own form of mistreatment with the new regime.

If Marshall does in fact become available, which is the absolute last thing Denver wants to happen, Chicago would clearly be a favorite to vie for his services. However, considering his talent and young age (25), Marshall would be an extremely hot commodity, and would simply go to the highest bidder.

There’s no doubt he would be dealt out of the division, as well, and possibly even out of the AFC.

This will be rookie coach Josh McDaniels’ second angry Pro Bowler and potential loss in his first off-season at the helm, which already doesn’t bode well for his prospects toward returning for a second season, let alone finishing 2009 on a good note.

It’s still to early to grind out a definitive answer or possible end result between the two sides, but like the Cutler situation, this doesn’t appear to be something that will go away by Brandon Marshall merely “sleeping” on it.

Fantasy Football Preview: NFC Running Backs

(Above: Adrian Peterson is still the cream of the crop.)

After taking on the task of assessing 2009’s quarterbacks situations (AFC/NFC), I began my quest to finish the rest of the offensive positions with the AFC running backs, and continue here with a look to the NFC.

As far as fantasy relevance goes, Adrian Peterson and Michael Turner easily top the list, but there’s more than meets the eye.

Both backs are likely to lose some carries with both offenses possibly depending more on the pass—Brett Favre looks to sign with Minnesota, and Atlanta figures to unleash Matt Ryan.

To learn more about Peterson and Turner’s situations, as well as the rest of the NFC running backs, continue reading below.

 

New York Giants—Brandon Jacobs, Ahmad Bradshaw

With Derrick Ward now in Tampa Bay, it’s Brandon Jacobs or bust.

This means quite a few more carries for both Jacobs and Bradshaw, and probably means rookie Andre Brown will steal a few as well, providing he seals up the third spot on the depth chart.

Jacobs is a risky bet to finish the season with more than 14 healthy starts, but his production is hard to ignore.

 

Dallas Cowboys—Marion Barber, Felix Jones, Tashard Choice

So goes Terrell Owens, so goes the Cowboys free-for-all pass attack. Right?

It’s anyone’s guess, but the early idea is that Dallas is headed toward a beautiful three-headed-monster ground game that will both beat defenses to death and open things up in a big way for Tony Romo.

These aren’t guarantees, though—more like wishes.

Still, even if Barber breaks down and Jones gets hurt again, Choice is a heck of a back to have as your third option. Dallas is sitting pretty.

 

Washington Redskins—Clinton Portis, Ladell Betts

Ladell Betts has reportedly looked great in OTAs and could vie for some extra carries as well as more looks in short yardage situations.

That’s what the coaches always say.

If Jim Zorn is smart, he’ll actually play Betts more and give Portis a break, but it’s difficult to walk away from what works.

Portis still has the speed and natural ability to be an elite back, but he definitely could use less carries to allow his body to stay in top form.

 

Philadelphia Eagles—Brian Westbrook, LeSean McCoy, Lorenzo Booker

People have been on the fence ever since they heard about Westbrook’s ankle woes, and they have every reason to be.

It’s bad enough the guy has a history of injuries, but add that he’s 30 and has a rookie pushing for his spot, and you’ve got disaster written all over your fantasy season.

Westbrook should be fine for the season, though, and Philly’s offense is probably too complex for McCoy to digest in just under three months.

However, if you own Westbrook, owning McCoy is a must.

 

Green Bay Packers—Ryan Grant, Brandon Jackson

There will always be talk about Brandon Jackson, DeShawn Wynn, and Kregg Lumpkin getting “more” carries, but everyone knows the deal in Green Bay.

Grant got the money, so he’s getting the ball.

That is, unless he has another early season riddled with leg nuances, and can’t muster an average better than 3.4 yards per carry.

Grant is a solid RB2, but never approached his 2007 form in all of 2008, making him a less than confident selection.

 

Minnesota Vikings—Adrian Peterson, Chester Taylor

Peterson is the consensus number one pick for the second year in a row, while his running mate, Taylor, sits idly by, waiting for five to 10 carries per game.

While Peterson is a shoe-in for over 1,300 yards and 10 touchdowns (providing he stays healthy for the third straight year *crosses fingers*), Taylor is still a valuable asset as both a runner and receiver out of the backfield.

If you land Peterson with the top pick, aim for Taylor somewhere between round five to eight, depending on the size of your league.

 

Detroit Lions—Kevin Smith, Maurice Morris

The Lions started over from top to bottom but held on to key offensive pieces, including Calvin Johnson and Kevin Smith.

They thought so highly of Smith that, despite bringing in Maurice Morris, they have labeled him as the feature back and have even installed special “power running” packages designed strictly for him.

While the Lions offense was regularly a mess, Smith was one of the bright spots down the stretch, racking up at least 99 total yards and a score in three straight games to end the 2008 season.

Considering very few people see this team spending another entire season without at least one victory, those types of performances may become more frequent.

 

Chicago Bears—Matt Forte, Kevin Jones

I feel almost embarrassed putting Kevin Jones in here, but he’s a talented player now a full year removed from any major injuries.

While Forte is undoubtedly the feature back, and very unlikely to rescind any major touches, Jones remains an intriguing late pick-up, providing Forte goes down to an injury.

On a lighter note, draft Forte without question if he’s available past the first five picks in the first round.

 

Atlanta Falcons—Michael Turner, Jerious Norwood, Jason Snelling

We know what Turner can do (1,699 yards, 17 TD), but we also know that lighting doesn’t strike twice. Well, at least not usually.

You can expect Turner to have another big year, but keeping the expectations around 1,400 yards and 12 TD would be a little more realistic.

With Matt Ryan progressing, as well as the addition of Tony Gonzalez, the offense is sure to expand, allowing the passing game to open up and get more complex.

This, combined with more carries handed out to Jerious Norwood to spell Turner more often, should make for an extremely potent offense, as well as a well-balanced attack.

Jason Snelling probably won’t live up to his OTA hype, but could vie for some short yardage duties down the road, if needed.

 

Carolina Panthers—DeAngelo Williams, Jonathan Stewart

There are two misguided thoughts about the Panthers’ 2009 rush offense. The first thought is that DeAngelo Williams will lose more carries to Jonathan Stewart.

The second thought is that he won’t.

The truth is, it’s an unpredictable thought, and that’s how Jon Fox likes it.

Williams is clearly capable of busting out another 1,500 yards and 18 touchdowns. However, Stewart is too valuable to not use.

In an ideal world, both running backs eclipse 1,000 yards and end up in the end zone at least 10 times each.

Considering Jake Delhomme is the quarterback and he threw only 15 scores last season, “an ideal world” is a place this Carolina offense just might find themselves in.

 

Tampa Bay Buccaneers—Derrick Ward, Earnest Graham, Carnell Williams

Derrick Ward wasn’t brought in to be a change-of-pace guy for Earnest Graham. It’s the other way around.

While Graham has a great mix of finesse and physical running, he’s almost 30, and probably better suited for blocking and goal-line duty.

And that’s probably exactly what will happen.

Derrick Ward, also not short in the tooth, will look to pick up where he left off with his 1,000-yard season in New York, while the forgotten man, “Cadillac” Williams, will continue to be forgotten.

 

New Orleans Saints—Pierre Thomas, Reggie Bush

Remember that 10-6 Saints team that had a solid one-two punch with Deuce McCalister and Reggie Bush? Yeah, it’s back—only better.

Pierre Thomas packs a punch and hits the hole hard, but is far more athletic than McCalister ever was, and is a more finesse runner.

While Bush may never be the running back scouts thought he could be, he’s still an unbelievably dynamic threat and an extremely underrated weapon.

Both players will prove to be worthy of a RB1 label before season’s end, and probably while they assist Drew Brees and company in getting back to the playoffs.

 

San Francisco 49ers—Frank Gore, Glen Coffee, Michael Robinson

The new offense in Frisco suits Gore’s style and should give him less carries, which could keep him fresher for the stretch run.

The goal is to get Gore 20 touches a game, but also keep him involved in the passing game.

Glen Coffee and Michael Robinson are merely afterthoughts who will only become worthy of starting if Gore goes down.

 

Arizona Cardinals—Tim Hightower, Chris Wells

Hightower is still the listed starter, but that can’t last for long.

He’s not much more than a short yardage back at this point, and he doesn’t have the athleticism or speed that Wells does.

It’d be a huge surprise if Wells wasn’t starting by mid-season, and even a slight upset if he didn’t take the first carry of the season.

 

St. Louis Rams—Steven Jackson

Once Brian Leonard was shipped to Cincinnati, Steven Jackson was officially on his own.

That’s not to say Leonard was doing anything of any significance, but it doesn’t say a whole lot for the depth behind Jackson currently, either.

The Rams will only go as far as Jackson can take them, so a career high in carries, yards, and touchdowns is very possible.

That is, if he can manage to stay on the field.

 

Seattle Seahawks—Julius Jones, T.J. Duckett, Justin Forsett

Julius Jones gets another crack at being “the guy” for Seattle, and now that Maurice Morris is donning a Lions uniform, we’ll get to truly see what he’s made of.

Sadly, it quite possibly will be a whole lot of nothing.

Jones is a risky pick, and shouldn’t be taken until after the middle rounds. T.J. Duckett, on the other hand, could provide some solid scoring for the second straight year, while offering next to nothing by the way of yardage.

Little man Justin Forsett is unlikely to carve any kind of role in Seattle’s new offense, but if Jones gets hurt or is plain old awful, he could be someone to keep an eye on.

Fantasy Football: AFC Running Back Preview

(Above: Another huge season for Thomas Jones?)

In continuation of my early fantasy overview, I pick up at the running back spot where I left off at the quarterback position; still excited about the fantasy season, but bewildered over all the possibilities that still remain.

There are now more RBBC in NFL backfields than ever, and in Denver, we also have to worry about Peyton Hillis stealing touches from rookie Knowshon Moreno.

That’s why there’s a little thing called handcuffs, baby.

Let it be known—these are not rankings, but merely a close look at the top runners for each team, as well as some analysis toward their 2009 season.

New England Patriots—Fred Taylor, Sammy Morris, Kevin Faulk, Laurence Maroney

It is anyone’s guess in log-jam city, a.k.a., New England’s backfield.

Former first rounder Laurence Maroney returns at near full health, but how much will he play? As it stands, ex-Jacksonville back Fred Taylor and Sammy Morris seem to be the front-runners, with third-down back Kevin Faulk certainly to be in the mix.

Three 30+ year-old backs sharing the ball. Not exactly the usual recipe for success in a ground attack, but who are we to question Bill Belichick?

New York Jets—Thomas Jones, Leon Washington, Shonn Greene

Thomas Jones returns after a huge season, but after going from one touchdown to 13, which version will we get?

Jones may have fallen out of love with Brett Favre at the end of last season, but if he sticks in New York, he’ll sorely miss him.

Leon Washington figures to get more touches, both out of the backfield and as a receiver, while also adding some spice as a returner.

There is quiet talk that Jones and Washington’s contract woes could have either one of them (or both) sent packing, which would quickly make rookie Shonn Greene a hot commodity.

Buffalo Bills—Marshawn Lynch, Fred Jackson, Dominic Rhodes

Lynch is currently facing a three-game suspension, but an appeal has a small chance at the suspension either being reduced or erased altogether.

Regardless, Fred Jackson will be used this year because he’s too good not to be.

Newly signed Rhodes, however, probably won’t sniff too much action as a runner, at least not after the first three weeks, barring an unforeseen injury. He should have a minimal impact as a receiver, though, and could be used sparingly on third downs.

Miami Dolphins—Ronnie Brown, Ricky Williams, Patrick Cobbs

Because Ricky Williams is still a fairly effective back, it figures to be another year of splitting carries between Williams and Ronnie Brown, as well as more sexy additions to the “wildcat” package.

Miami’s style of offense means big things for Ronnie Brown if he can stay healthy, and locks in Williams for solid yardage production, as well as the opportunity for five to eight touchdowns.

Patrick Cobbs probably won’t be able to lock down any major role, but considering how diverse the Dolphins’ offense is, he should be able to make an impact catching passes out of the backfield.

Pittsburgh Steelers—Willie Parker, Rashard Mendenhall, Mewelde Moore

The Steelers face a very promising problem: They have three guys they wouldn’t be afraid starting the season with as their primary back.

While that gives them an A for depth and versatility, that means hell for fantasy owners.

Regardless, Parker should be the stud, while Mendenhall and Moore pick away at the scraps and compete for third-down duty.

Cincinnati Bengals—Cedric Benson, Brian Leonard, Kenny Watson

Cedric Benson continues his quest to prove last season’s late run wasn’t a fluke, and that he is still deserving of that fourth overall selection.

While the latter can’t be proven this season, I’m also still not sold that he’s the right back for the Bengals.

Cincy obtained Brian Leonard from the Rams for a reason, and it’s becoming clear that it wasn’t to waste him at fullback. He’s younger and more versatile than Kenny Watson, so he has the jump-start for the third-down back role, and could end the season with some solid production.

Cleveland Browns—Jamal Lewis, Jerome Harrison

Lewis is getting older and slowing down a bit, but as long as he can plow into people and move the chains, he’ll remain the starter.

Harrison is a good backup that is eager to get his shot. Whether or not Lewis goes down to injury, Harrison is likely to get some solid touches as their top change-of-pace back.

Baltimore Ravens—Ray Rice, Willis McGahee, LeRon McClain

The hot talk has Ray Rice as the starter for 2009, but considering the money is going to McGahee, I wouldn’t buy into that hype so quickly.

Rice is easily the most exciting option in the Ravens’ backfield, while McClain remains the most productive and effective.

If McGahee’s knees hold up he could still put up good numbers, but this backfield is way too muddled for anyone to call the final score just yet.

Indianapolis Colts—Joseph Addai, Donald Brown

Addai may have had a down year last season, but with Dominic Rhodes playing in Buffalo, he’s once again healthy and primed for a big season.

That is, if you’re not afraid of Donald Brown stealing his carries.

There is a ton of excitement surrounding Brown, but his poor receiving ability may hold him back some. Reports have him being an absolute terror after he catches the ball, but that’s just it—he rarely does.

Tennessee Titans—Chris Johnson, LenDale White

Are we headed for another split like 2008? In one fashion or another; probably.

White is still more than likely the guy they’ll rely on inside the 10-yard line, while Chris Johnson is their speedy, elusive guy that’s going to be their workhorse.

They both have great value, although it’s likely White comes down to earth a bit in the touchdown department.

Jacksonville Jaguars—Maurice Jones-Drew

MJD still isn’t the only back in Jacksonville, but he might as well be.

With Fred Taylor now in New England, MJD is officially the feature back for the Jaguars and will be a threat on all three downs.

He’s a dynamo talent with excellent speed, toughness, and versatility.

The guy has run for at least 760 yards and nine touchdowns in three straight seasons, and is only 24. Imagine what he’ll do with the backfield all to himself.

Houston Texans—Steve Slaton, Ryan Moats, Chris Brown

Slaton was very impressive as a rookie, rushing for over 1,200 yards and performing admirably as a receiver out of the backfield.

He should only get better as he grows more comfortable with the offense.

With no real threat to steal many of his carries, the only thing preventing Slaton from improving on 2008’s numbers is an unfortunate injury.

Denver Broncos—Knowshon Moreno, Correll Buckhalter, Lamont Jordan, Peyton Hillis

Despite being a first-round pick and possessing the most talent out of all his running-mates, Knowshon Moreno isn’t a lock to get the most carries in 2008.

At least for now, it appears Josh McDaniels will ride into the season with as many as five running backs, and should also look to incorporate fullback Peyton Hillis in some fashion.

Until someone gets cut or injured, though, predicting the Denver backfield is a waste of time.

San Diego Chargers—LaDainian Tomlinson, Darren Sproles, Jacob Hester

LT is still “the guy” in San Diego, and a franchise tagging of Darren Sproles isn’t going to change that.

However, you don’t tag a guy simply to be a backup, so Sproles is definitely in for some serious touches, whether it be by rushing or receiving.

Former LSU Tiger Jacob Hester is the front-runner at fullback, and after only being average as an offensive option last year, he could still actually see more carries as he learns the offense more.

Oakland Raiders—Justin Fargas, Darren McFadden, Michael Bush

Justin Fargas is listed as the starter, but that figures to be just a formality. Darren McFadden is the most talented runner in Oakland, and one of the top young talents in the league.

It’d be a shock if he wasn’t starting by Week Eight. Still, Fargas and Michael Bush should get enough touches to get their names in the paper every now and then.

Kansas City Chiefs—Larry Johnson, Jamaal Charles, Kolby Smith

Larry Johnson appears to have mended the fences between him and the front office—for now.

If he gets hurt or sees his play drop again like it did last season in the early going, Charles and Smith could benefit immensely.

Charles looks to be the top backup as it stands, though, as Smith is still rehabbing from injury.

 

NFL: Creating the Best Offense of This Era

(Above: It wouldn’t be the Pro Bowl. It’d be better.)

We all love fantasy football. Well, as long as we’re winning.

So, with that love and excitement for that “fake” world, where anything is possible, let’s take a look at what it would be like to piece together the best possible team with current talent.

Just imagine: If the NFL abandoned all it’s rules and said everyone is up for grabs in a community draft, what would it be like?

Picture no salary cap. Who would be football’s New York Yankees?

More importantly, though, what would be the best team possible?

 

Head Coach Bill Belichick

Four Super Bowl appearance, three rings, and a 16-0 season. Yeah, he’s our guy.

Belichick would take his boy Brady, below, and would piece together the following players to form the smartest, dominant team possible, while paying slightly more attention to chemistry and character, rather than simply getting the best overall talents.

 

QB Tom Brady

You can talk about his knee and him being “rusty” all you want. The guy threw for close to 5,000 yards and 50 touchdowns in 2007, and if it weren’t for a freak injury, may have been able to do it again.

He has three rings, and with the offensive weapons that follow him on this list, he’d probably never lose again.

 

QB (Back-up) Ben Roethlisberger

Big Ben definitely isn’t the “best” option after Brady, but with two Super Bowls under his belt, he’s a winner and one of the purest gamers the NFL has to offer.

While Pittsburgh doesn’t call on him to win games by himself often, he’s a clutch performer with a big arm, and the ability to put up big-time numbers.

If this team could ever happen, a young Roethlisberger would be a nice, headsy talent to groom behind Brady.

 

RB Adrian Peterson

Whether you’re talking about stats, athleticism, or style of play, there’s no one in the league that touches All Day.

He’s grounded any worries about durability issues, and does nothing but dominate teams when he has solid support from his passing game.

With Tom Brady behind center, AP could crack 300 yards rushing twice a season.

 

RB (Change of Pace) Leon Washington

Washington may never be a feature back due to his height and small frame, but his explosiveness and vision is too valuable to be left behind.

He would be able to come in on third downs and be a factor on several different types of plays, and could also electrify the stadium with his highlight reel ability on kick returns.

 

RB/WR/KR (X-Factor Back) Reggie Bush

Bush would fill in the final running back spot, but wouldn’t necessarily be behind Washington on the depth chart.

While he isn’t a very gifted runner in between the tackles, few are as good as Bush at breaking a run on the outside, or finding the right gaps on punt returns.

 

FB Peyton Hillis

I know he may not be the consensus pick, but in terms of toughness, versatility, and athleticism, he’s the best all-around talent at the position.

Hillis has proven to be an above-average runner, stout blocker, and exceptional receiver either out of the backfield, or in traffic.

 

WR Larry Fitzgerald

Few receivers have the combination of speed, agility, hands, and body control that Fitz has.

He has the ability to snag balls right out of the air, or catch a slant and take it the distance.

He’s mastered the style of game that only Randy Moss used to be able to do, and appears to have distanced himself from even Moss as the best receiver in football.

 

WR Steve Smith

When constructing the perfect team, it’s not all about jotting down the best available talent. Well, not completely.

It’s about maxing out the talent, but also piecing together players that would fit each other’s styles, instead of pairing three guys together who all do the same things.

Smith is faster and more explosive than Fitzgerald, and has the ability to stretch the field, or just manage the middle of the field inside the slot, if needed.

Smith, like Fitz, has an uncanny ability to adjust his body in mid-air and go after any ball, and can even help on returns or specialty plays, if needed.

 

WR (Slot) Wes Welker

Every team deserves a Wes Welker, as he constantly puts his body and career at risk, going after balls with linebackers and corners closing in on him.

Welker isn’t as good as Randy Moss or Andre Johnson (or several others), but he’s easily the best slot receiver out there.

Welker has extremely reliable hands, runs crafty, crisp routes, and is very quick and versatile. If the Patriots are starting him, you can be sure any other team in the league would be starting him, as well.

 

TE Tony Gonzalez

He’s getting up there in age, but it’s still arguable that Gonzalez is the best all-around tight end in the league.

With Gonzo, you know one side of your line is protected well, and you also have an elite receiving option that can break off of blocks and get open at all times.

He’s also a big red-zone threat that can open up the running game, simply by being on the field and drawing linebackers wherever he goes.

 

TE Dallas Clark

Clark is a solid blocker, but is definitely known for his play-making ability.

Blessed with excellent speed for a tight end, Clark plays over the middle often, and turns five-yard outs into 15-yard gains.

He’s a very reliable target with good hands and the mind of a receiver. He wouldn’t be the first tight end option on this team, but is so versatile, that he could fill-in as the third or fourth receiver without the offense missing a beat.

As said before, this isn’t a collection of simply the best talent the NFL has to offer. Rather, it’s a cohesive combination of athletic ability, proven performance, high character, and guys who could easily mesh together.

This is your ultimate offense. Relish it.

 

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